Chicago @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 5th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. Nico Hoerner has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 7th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 85.5-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 81.5-mph in the past two weeks.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Michael Busch's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (27.7° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his 18.6° seasonal figure. Michael Busch's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 18.1% to 22%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 5th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. Batting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among every team in action today. In the past week, Jackson Chourio's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.9% down to 4.8%. Jackson Chourio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 16% to 9.6%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Extreme groundball hitters like Kyle Tucker tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Quintana. Using Statcast metrics, Kyle Tucker is in the 98th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .395.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Caleb Durbin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Caleb Durbin will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 44% to 52.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Over the last 14 days, Pete Crow-Armstrong has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.1% to 25%. Last year, Pete Crow-Armstrong had an average launch angle of 20.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 25°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Sal Frelick will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today. Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Sal Frelick with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jameson Taillon who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Carson Kelly will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana today. Carson Kelly hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Carson Kelly has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 6.6% rate last year to 19.6% this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an advantage today. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Dansby Swanson's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (18.1°) is quite a bit better than his 14.7° angle last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an edge in today's matchup. Seiya Suzuki hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (42.3% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Batters such as William Contreras with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jameson Taillon who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Justin Turner is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Justin Turner will have an edge today. Extreme flyball bats like Justin Turner tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Quintana.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Brice Turang is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Brice Turang will have the upper hand in today's game. Brice Turang hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Christian Yelich is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage today.

Jon Berti's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Jon Berti will have an edge in today's matchup. Jon Berti has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Rhys Hoskins will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Rhys Hoskins's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 18.2%.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Isaac Collins will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Isaac Collins's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 102.8-mph in recent games. Isaac Collins has been hot lately, notching a a 20% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) in the past 7 days.

Jake Bauers has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.