Chicago @ Milwaukee picks

The Cubs are one of the highest-scoring clubs in the majors but they score a run in the first inning just 25.2% of the time. That number is tied with the Brewers for the fourth-lowest in the majors. The Cubs are sending veteran Jameson Taillon. He's been a bit shaky this season but has been lights out in the opening frame, where he hasn't allowed a single run with an OBA of .143 through six starts. The Brewers will have Jose Quintana and his sparkling 1.14 ERA on the mound. Quintana also hasn't surrendered a run in the first inning this year while pitching to an OBA of .091 in that frame.

The Cubs have gone Over their team total in 19 of their last 28 games. They lead the majors in runs per game (6.12) while ranking second in OPS (.804). Brewers starter Jose Quintana has a 1.14 ERA through four starts but his Statcast analytics indicate major regression. Quintana has an xERA of 4.44 and sits in the bottom 20th percentile in xBA (.284), average exit velocity, and hard-hit rate. The Cubs has been even better against southpaws like Quintana, boasting MLB-best numbers in BA (.287) and OPS (.869). Milwaukee's bullpen has also struggled due to injuries. Their relievers are 28th in the majors in ERA (5.14) and 23rd in WHIP (1.40).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game.. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kyle Tucker tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Quintana.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an edge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 44% to 52.8%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game.. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kyle Tucker tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Quintana.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game.. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kyle Tucker tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Quintana.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Michael Busch's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (27.7° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his 18.6° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 44% to 52.8%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an edge in today's matchup.