Kansas City @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Batting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Bobby Witt Jr. tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dean Kremer. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. today. Bobby Witt Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 8.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks. Compared to his seasonal figure of 10.5°, Bobby Witt Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.5°) in the past 14 days.

In today's game, Gunnar Henderson is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.1% rate (80th percentile). Gunnar Henderson has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 95.7-mph dropping to 93.5-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Michael Wacha will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Mountcastle in today's matchup. Ryan Mountcastle has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph dropping to 86.7-mph in the last week. When it comes to plate discipline, Ryan Mountcastle's skill is quite bad, posting a 4.2 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 13th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Jonathan India's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 16.4% to 22.5%.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Emmanuel Rivera has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. Emmanuel Rivera will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Emmanuel Rivera has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .236 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.

Hitting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Maikel Garcia will have a tough matchup in today's game. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Maikel Garcia in today's game. Over the past week, Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 89 mph to 81.8 mph. Checking in at the 12th percentile, Maikel Garcia sits with a .277 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. The switch-hitting Drew Waters will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Dean Kremer. Drew Waters pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage in today's matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Freddy Fermin has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 91.6-mph over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Ramon Laureano will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Ramon Laureano's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 27.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°. Ramon Laureano has compiled a .322 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Dean Kremer in today's game.

Michael Massey is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Michael Massey will have the upper hand today. Michael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Ramon Urias hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Ramon Urias will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Ramon Urias has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last season's 93-mph figure.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. As it relates to plate discipline, Mark Canha's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.91 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Jackson Holliday are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael Wacha.

Cedric Mullins is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha today. Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Heston Kjerstad will hold that advantage in today's matchup.