Arizona @ New York picks

On name recognition alone, today's pitching matchup looks like a banger, with Kodai Senga squaring off against Zac Gallen. However, while New York's preeminent ghost forkball practitioner has stymied all comers this season, Gallen has scuffled to a 5.57 ERA. His walk rate has increased, he's allowed more fly balls and a higher OPS than in any other recent season, and those hard-hit balls in the air have led him to five homers. Another tough day at the office for the Arizona righty means the Mets win by at least two with Senga standing tall.

On name recognition alone, Thursday’s pitching matchup looks like a banger, with Kodai Senga squaring off against Zac Gallen. However, while New York's preeminent ghost forkball practitioner has stymied all comers this season, Gallen has scuffled to a 5.57 ERA. His walk rate has increased, he's allowed more fly balls and a higher OPS than in any other recent season, and those hard-hit balls in the air have led him to five homers. Another tough day at the office for the Arizona righty means the Mets win by at least two with Senga standing tall.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 14th-best batter in the game.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game.. Pete Alonso has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last season to 19.8% this season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today.. Juan Soto is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage today.. With a .368 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Francisco Lindor is positioned in the 94th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 14th-best batter in the game.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game.. Pete Alonso has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last season to 19.8% this season.

Tim Tawa pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. Tim Tawa has been hot lately, notching 4 home runs in the past 14 days.. Ranking in the 79th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.11 ft/sec this year, Tim Tawa is remarkably toolsy.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 14th-best batter in the game.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game.. Pete Alonso has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last season to 19.8% this season.