Arizona @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Extreme groundball bats like Starling Marte usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Zac Gallen. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand today. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Sporting a 1.84 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jeff McNeil has shown strong plate discipline, placing in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Compared to last year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.1% to 22.6% this season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today. Juan Soto is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences today.

Tim Tawa pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Ranking in the 79th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.11 ft/sec this year, Tim Tawa is remarkably toolsy.

Jesse Winker has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Jesse Winker will hold the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Jesse Winker may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP. Jesse Winker has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jesse Winker will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand today. Brandon Nimmo is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP. Brandon Nimmo has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 14th-best batter in the game. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game. Pete Alonso has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last season to 19.8% this season.

Alek Thomas's batting average skill is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Alek Thomas will have an edge in today's game. Alek Thomas is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Alek Thomas has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Alek Thomas tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kodai Senga.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Pavin Smith is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today. Pavin Smith is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Out of all the teams playing today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last year's 87-mph average. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 13% to 21.3%.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Extreme groundball bats like Jose Herrera tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kodai Senga. Out of all the teams playing today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today. Mark Vientos will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Mark Vientos has compiled a .342 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage today. With a .368 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Francisco Lindor is positioned in the 94th percentile.

Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.258) provides evidence that Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .242 actual batting average. By putting up a .312 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyrone Taylor has performed in the 76th percentile.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Luis Torrens will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Luis Torrens has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .239 figure is quite a bit lower than his .262 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luis Torrens's 10.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 76th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Luis Torrens has an average exit velocity of 90.3 mph, which ranks among the elite in the league at the 79th percentile.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage today. Francisco Alvarez's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) has been 114.8 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 90th percentile. Grading out in the 98th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Francisco Alvarez demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial ability for achieving a high batting average.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets. In the last week's worth of games, Eugenio Suarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 18.8% up to 26.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage today. Corbin Carroll has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.