Los Angeles @ Seattle Picks & Props

T-Mobile Park grades out as the #30 venue in the league for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the slate today at 54°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Jack Kochanowicz will have the handedness advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Kochanowicz's large platoon split. In the last two weeks, Julio Rodriguez's 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Nolan Schanuel is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Nolan Schanuel will have an advantage in today's matchup. Nolan Schanuel has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyren Paris has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .288 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .312.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Extreme groundball batters like Luis Rengifo are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Miller. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Luis Rengifo has compiled a .293 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Considering Jack Kochanowicz's large platoon split, J.P. Crawford will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 8th-weakest among every team today. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Zach Neto ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Zach Neto is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Zach Neto pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Zach Neto has been hot of late, notching a an 18.2% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Kochanowicz in today's game... and even better, Kochanowicz has a large platoon split. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 8th-weakest among every team today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Taylor Ward is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Taylor Ward has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. In the past week, Taylor Ward's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.6-mph lately.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 11th-best batter in the game. Mike Trout is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Mike Trout has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.3-mph average to last season's 96.2-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 8th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game.

Leonardo Rivas pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 8th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Leonardo Rivas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Leonardo Rivas has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .310 rate is a good deal lower than his .349 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Miles Mastrobuoni will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Kochanowicz in today's game... and moreover, Kochanowicz has a large platoon split. Miles Mastrobuoni has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 8th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Miles Mastrobuoni will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Miles Mastrobuoni's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.9% up to 10%.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Cal Raleigh tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 8th-weakest among every team today. Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Logan O'Hoppe pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Logan O'Hoppe has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 12% rate last season to 23.4% this season. Over the last week, Logan O'Hoppe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 23.4% up to 44.4%.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Jorge Polanco with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 8th-weakest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jorge Soler is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Jorge Soler pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. By putting up a .333 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Jorge Soler is positioned in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 8th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Benjamin Williamson will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week, Benjamin Williamson's maximum exit velocity (a strong indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 110.4-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball.

Rowdy Tellez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (94% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage over Jack Kochanowicz today... and even better, Kochanowicz has a large platoon split. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 8th-weakest among every team today. Rowdy Tellez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jo Adell pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. In the past 7 days, Jo Adell's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.2% up to 18.2%. Jo Adell's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 38.3% to 52.8%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.235) implies that Jo Adell has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .205 actual batting average.

J.D. Davis has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 5 games.