San Francisco @ San Diego Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 6th-worst park in the league for RHB batting average. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 6th-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today. Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been lucky this year, posting a .438 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .385 — a .053 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Martin Maldonado in the 0th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Martin Maldonado is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup. Martin Maldonado has been pulled from the game early 40% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 6th-worst park in the league for RHB batting average. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

Jason Heyward will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jason Heyward can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The #6 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 6th-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. In the majors, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. By putting up a .368 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyler Fitzgerald finds himself in the 94th percentile.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. In the majors, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Xander Bogaerts has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 24.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 10°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average ability. Jung Hoo Lee is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an edge in today's matchup. Jung Hoo Lee's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 44% to 60.9%.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Gavin Sheets will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today. Gavin Sheets may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Matt Chapman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.2-mph to 96.1-mph over the past 14 days. There has been a significant improvement in Matt Chapman's launch angle from last year's 16.1° to 23.6° this year.

LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Nick Pivetta today. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s launch angle this season (24°) is significantly better than his 12.8° angle last season. Over the last 14 days, LaMonte Wade Jr. has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 28.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 24.2°. LaMonte Wade Jr. has been unlucky this year, posting a .213 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .115 discrepancy. Posting a 1.46 K/BB rate since the start of last season, LaMonte Wade Jr. has demonstrated strong plate discipline, grading out in the 94th percentile.

In the majors, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Tyler Wade will have an advantage today. Tyler Wade is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP. Tyler Wade will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Tyler Wade's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 37.5% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. In the majors, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Wilmer Flores has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.2-mph average to last season's 83.5-mph mark. Last year, Wilmer Flores had an average launch angle of 14.8° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 18.3°. In the past week's worth of games, Wilmer Flores's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.3%.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. In the majors, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Willy Adames has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.7-mph average to last year's 93.6-mph figure. Willy Adames's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (27.4°) is considerably better than his 22.2° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 54.3%. Heliot Ramos has notched a .335 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Using Statcast data, Heliot Ramos grades out in the 76th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .262. Heliot Ramos has notched a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Mike Yastrzemski has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Mike Yastrzemski will have the handedness advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski has notched a .334 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile.

In the majors, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Elias Diaz will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

In the majors, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Nick Pivetta in today's game. Patrick Bailey's launch angle of late (36° over the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 20.1° seasonal mark. Compared to last season, Patrick Bailey has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.4% to 23.3% this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Patrick Bailey's true offensive skill to be a .284, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .079 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .205 wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Manny Machado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Manny Machado has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12% seasonal rate to 20.6% over the past 14 days.

Jose Iglesias's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Iglesias will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Jose Iglesias's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.3%. Jose Iglesias has notched a .356 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile. Ranking in the 100th percentile, Jose Iglesias has notched a .331 batting average since the start of last season.

Tirso Ornelas is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Tirso Ornelas will have an edge in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tirso Ornelas can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Tirso Ornelas will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Oscar Gonzalez has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.