Atlanta @ Colorado Picks & Props
ATL vs COL Picks
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ATL vs COL Props
Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the 4th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 58°. German Marquez will hold the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna today. Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Marcell Ozuna has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 94.2-mph dropping to 92.1-mph over the last 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna's true offensive skill to be a .356, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .091 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .447 wOBA.
Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the 4th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 58°. Batting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Austin Riley meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Austin Riley today.
Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the 4th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 58°. Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the past 7 days, Matt Olson's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 100 mph to 97.8 mph. There has been a significant decline in Matt Olson's launch angle from last season's 15.9° to 8.7° this season.
Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado
Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Michael Toglia's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph lately.
Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the 4th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 58°. AJ Smith-Shawver will hold the platoon advantage over Brenton Doyle in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. In the last 7 days, Brenton Doyle's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 0%. Brenton Doyle's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, falling from 14.3% on the season to 0% in the past week's worth of games.
Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Michael Harris II is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the 4th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 58°. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Harris II in today's game. In the past week, Michael Harris II's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 91.6 mph to 65.7 mph. As it relates to plate discipline, Michael Harris II's talent is quite poor, sporting a 4.15 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 16th percentile.
Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the 4th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 58°. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his worse side (0) today against German Marquez Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Ozzie Albies's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%. Ozzie Albies's average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 88.4-mph mark last season has decreased to 85.7-mph.
Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the 4th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 58°. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Verdugo in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo has been cold recently, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) over the last 7 days. Placing in the 19th percentile, Alex Verdugo has put up a .268 BABIP since the start of last season.
Adael Amador Total Hits Props • Colorado
Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hitters such as Adael Amador with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like AJ Smith-Shawver who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Adael Amador will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado
Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today's game.
Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Colorado
The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Farmer will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Kyle Farmer's 53.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.5%.
Jordan Beck Total Hits Props • Colorado
Jordan Beck has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Jordan Beck will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jordan Beck has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 20.7% seasonal rate to 46.2% in the past 14 days.
Alan Trejo Total Hits Props • Colorado
The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Alan Trejo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Sean Murphy has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.6% rate last season to 23.3% this year. In the past week, Sean Murphy's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 23.3% up to 30%.
Hunter Goodman Total Hits Props • Colorado
Hunter Goodman is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hunter Goodman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Hunter Goodman has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph to 89-mph in the past 14 days.
Mickey Moniak Total Hits Props • Colorado
Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage over AJ Smith-Shawver in today's game. Mickey Moniak will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Mickey Moniak has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last season's 90.5-mph mark.
Nick Allen Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense.
Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Colorado
The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Jacob Stallings will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Jacob Stallings has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 91.3-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 87.5-mph. Jacob Stallings's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 17.9% to 36%.
Nick Martini Total Hits Props • Colorado
Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Nick Martini will hold the platoon advantage against AJ Smith-Shawver in today's game. Nick Martini will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
ATL vs COL Trends
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.80 Units / 47% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.50 Units / 23% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 35% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games (+3.95 Units / 16% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+2.85 Units / 15% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 26 games (-13.15 Units / -43% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 26 games (-13.00 Units / -42% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 20 games (-10.95 Units / -36% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 22 games (-7.00 Units / -30% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 16 away games (-5.25 Units / -29% ROI)
Colorado Trends
The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.05 Units / 24% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.67 Units / 31% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.25 Units / 21% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.80 Units / 17% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.65 Units / 10% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 26 games (-20.20 Units / -76% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have only hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 28 games (-14.81 Units / -46% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 26 games (-14.10 Units / -52% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 27 games (-10.95 Units / -36% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have only hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 28 games (-10.70 Units / -35% ROI)
ATL vs COL Top User Picks
Atlanta Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||
Colorado Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 7-2-1 | +28415 |
| 2 | leafs126 | 8-2-0 | +28005 |
| 3 | adgadg222 | 8-2-0 | +26815 |
| 4 | lusvegasluva | 4-6-0 | +23010 |
| 5 | Dogface253 | 7-2-1 | +22855 |
| 6 | moneyformo | 7-3-0 | +21495 |
| 7 | ND21 | 9-1-0 | +21105 |
| 8 | Hoosier | 7-2-1 | +20260 |
| 9 | fishercz | 8-1-1 | +19955 |
| 10 | simoncald | 9-1-0 | +19655 |
| All Rockies Money Leaders | |||