Milwaukee @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Luis Robert Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Luis Robert Jr. will hold that advantage today. Luis Robert Jr. has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 12.7% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week's worth of games.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. William Contreras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Hitters such as William Contreras with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bryse Wilson who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. William Contreras has compiled a .337 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.

Edgar Quero's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edgar Quero is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Edgar Quero will hold that advantage in today's game. Edgar Quero has been hot lately, tallying a .392 wOBA in the past 14 days.

Sal Frelick's batting average ability is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Bryse Wilson throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage today. Extreme flyball bats like Sal Frelick generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryse Wilson. Sal Frelick has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 85.8-mph average to last year's 83.4-mph EV.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Christian Yelich is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Christian Yelich will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryse Wilson today. Christian Yelich has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Christian Yelich are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryse Wilson.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the slate at 58°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Batting from the same side that Bryse Wilson throws from, Jackson Chourio will be in a tough position in today's game. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Chourio in today's game. Jackson Chourio has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph dropping to 84.5-mph over the last 7 days. Jackson Chourio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 16% to 11.2%.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. Miguel Vargas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Miguel Vargas has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last year's 86.2-mph mark. Miguel Vargas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 11.8% to 16.5%. Miguel Vargas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 16.5% on the season to 20% over the past 7 days.

Jacob Amaya has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jacob Amaya will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jacob Amaya has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .149 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .211.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. Brooks Baldwin will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Brooks Baldwin has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95-mph average to last year's 90.6-mph EV. Brooks Baldwin's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 16.9% on the season to 21.1% in the past week's worth of games.

Andrew Benintendi's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an edge today. Andrew Benintendi will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Lenyn Sosa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Lenyn Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Lenyn Sosa has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 91.4-mph figure. Lenyn Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 53.5% on the season to 74.1% over the last 7 days. Lenyn Sosa has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .257 figure is quite a bit lower than his .297 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. Andrew Vaughn will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Andrew Vaughn has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 9.3% rate last year to 14.3% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage over Bryse Wilson in today's matchup. Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the past 7 days, Brice Turang's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.4% up to 15%. In comparison to his 87-mph average last year, Brice Turang's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 93.2 mph.

Joshua Palacios is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Joshua Palacios will have an edge in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Joshua Palacios generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Freddy Peralta. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Joshua Palacios will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Rhys Hoskins's launch angle this year (24°) is significantly better than his 20.6° figure last season. In the past week's worth of games, Rhys Hoskins's 64.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.5%.

Hitting from the opposite that Bryse Wilson throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage today. Jake Bauers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Jake Bauers's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 36.4% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jake Bauers ranks in the 96th percentile with a 22° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in Major League Baseball.

Isaac Collins has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.