Arizona @ New York props

The #4 park in MLB for suppressing BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 87.9-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 85.4-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Luisangel Acuna will have the upper hand today. Luisangel Acuna hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Bats such as Luisangel Acuna with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Eduardo Rodriguez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Eduardo Rodriguez. Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Starling Marte is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Starling Marte will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Pavin Smith has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Among all the teams today, the 6th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Gabriel Moreno's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Gabriel Moreno will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's game. Gabriel Moreno hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 6th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Tim Tawa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Tim Tawa pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 6th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. In the last two weeks, Tim Tawa's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.1% up to 20%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Juan Soto has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Corbin Carroll is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have the upper hand today. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jorge Barrosa pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams today, the 6th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Jorge Barrosa has put up a .316 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Among all the teams today, the 6th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 13% to 22.1%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Brandon Nimmo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Mark Vientos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Pete Alonso will have the upper hand in today's game.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage today. Ranking in the 90th percentile, the hardest ball Francisco Alvarez has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.8 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Jose Azocar will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jose Azocar will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 92nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.02 ft/sec since the start of last season, Jose Azocar is remarkably quick.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randal Grichuk is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an advantage in today's matchup. Randal Grichuk pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Tyrone Taylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today. Tyrone Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyrone Taylor's true offensive ability to be a .300, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .097 disparity between that mark and his actual .203 wOBA.