Milwaukee @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Victor Scott II will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.5°, Victor Scott II has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.8° angle in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the 10th-worst park in MLB for left-handed batting average. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brice Turang today. Brice Turang's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (4° over the past week) is considerably lower than his 8.1° seasonal mark.

The #10 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Jackson Chourio faces a tough challenge today. Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Jackson Chourio's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 88.3-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 83.7-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Lars Nootbaar will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Lars Nootbaar has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 94.1-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Sal Frelick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde today. Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Sal Frelick are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Erick Fedde.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Brendan Donovan's 88.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 61%. Brendan Donovan has recorded a .299 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Masyn Winn will have an advantage in today's game. Masyn Winn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage today. Masyn Winn has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.4-mph mark. Masyn Winn's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 45.7% on the season to 62.5% in the past 7 days.

Isaac Collins is notably fast, placing in the 83rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.3 ft/sec this year.

Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Pedro Pages will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Pedro Pages will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.3°, Pedro Pages has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 32.5° angle over the past 7 days. Pedro Pages's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 14.4% to 19.1%.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like William Contreras are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Erick Fedde. William Contreras has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.3-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 19th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability. Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Christian Yelich usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Erick Fedde. Over the past 7 days, Christian Yelich's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 106.6-mph lately.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an edge in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Nolan Arenado tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Quintana. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's game. Nolan Arenado has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.4-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 86.9-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Willson Contreras will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today. Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today's game.

Thomas Saggese's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Thomas Saggese will have an edge in today's matchup. Thomas Saggese will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Thomas Saggese is very athletic, placing in the 83rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.3 ft/sec this year.

In the last week's worth of games, Rhys Hoskins's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.1% up to 14.3%. Rhys Hoskins's launch angle this year (24.8°) is significantly higher than his 20.6° angle last season.

Luken Baker is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Luken Baker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today. Extreme groundball hitters like Luken Baker are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Quintana. Luken Baker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.326) suggests that Luken Baker has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .302 actual wOBA.

Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage today. Over the last 7 days, Jake Bauers's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 33.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jake Bauers ranks in the 96th percentile with a 22° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Jordan Walker will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game. Jordan Walker has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 95.1-mph in the past 7 days.