Boston @ Cleveland Picks & Props

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 53°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Logan Allen will hold the platoon advantage against Jarren Duran in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jarren Duran in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 11th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best venue in the game for RHB BABIP. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Kristian Campbell will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Given Brayan Bello's huge platoon split, Kyle Manzardo will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Kyle Manzardo pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Angel Martinez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Angel Martinez will hold that advantage in today's game. Angel Martinez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.8-mph average to last season's 86.5-mph mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Rafael Devers has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 13.1% rate last year to 20.3% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best venue in the game for RHB BABIP. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best venue in the game for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have the upper hand today. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.330) suggests that Ceddanne Rafaela has been unlucky this year with his .263 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best venue in the game for RHB BABIP. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Carlos Narvaez will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen in today's matchup. Carlos Narvaez has been hot recently, putting up a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best venue in the game for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Romy Gonzalez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen today. Romy Gonzalez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Trevor Story's BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best venue in the game for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Trevor Story will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Given Brayan Bello's huge platoon split, Bo Naylor will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Extreme flyball bats like Bo Naylor generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage in today's game.

Steven Kwan's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Steven Kwan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and even more favorably, Bello has a huge platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best venue in the game for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Alex Bregman will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Brayan Rocchio will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Brayan Rocchio has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 1.9% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the last week. Over the past 14 days, Brayan Rocchio's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Carlos Santana will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best venue in the game for RHB BABIP. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Will Wilson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nolan Jones is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Bello has a huge platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Given Brayan Bello's huge platoon split, Daniel Schneemann will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Daniel Schneemann will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Daniel Schneemann is quite quick, ranking in the 76th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.01 ft/sec this year.

Triston Casas has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Wilyer Abreu has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Austin Hedges has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.