Toronto @ Houston props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme groundball hitters like Brendan Rodgers tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bowden Francis. Brendan Rodgers will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. The Barrel% of Brendan Rodgers has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.7% last year to 14.8% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Minute Maid Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Alan Roden will have the upper hand today. Extreme groundball bats like Alan Roden usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Gusto.

The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Chas McCormick will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Chas McCormick has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .209 figure is quite a bit lower than his .225 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Chas McCormick ranks in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (20.2% rate since the start of last season). Ranking in the 86th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.67 ft/sec since the start of last season, Chas McCormick is notably quick.

Christian Walker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all parks. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Christian Walker will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .268 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Walker has had bad variance on his side given the .063 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. George Springer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all parks. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. George Springer has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.3-mph average to last year's 93.2-mph average.

The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Meyers will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Jake Meyers's 78.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.9%. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jake Meyers has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .285 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme groundball bats like Yainer Diaz usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bowden Francis. Yainer Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 37.3% on the season to 61.5% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zachary Dezenzo in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all parks. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Zachary Dezenzo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ranking in the 76th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.01 ft/sec this year, Zachary Dezenzo is very quick.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all parks. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme flyball batters like Jeremy Pena tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bowden Francis.

Will Wagner's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Will Wagner will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Gusto today. Extreme groundball batters like Will Wagner tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Gusto. Will Wagner has recorded a .275 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Altuve will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (46.8% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of plate discipline, Isaac Paredes's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.38 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 95th percentile.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bo Bichette is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Bo Bichette's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 101.1-mph of late. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 45% to 56%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in the majors when estimating his batting average talent. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.4-mph average to last season's 95-mph figure. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 108.9-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 98.4-mph.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Bowden Francis in today's matchup. Yordan Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Mauricio Dubon will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Compared to last season, Mauricio Dubon has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.1% to 24% this season. Ranking in the 78th percentile, Mauricio Dubon has notched a .266 batting average since the start of last season.

Minute Maid Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Addison Barger will have the upper hand today. Compiling a 94.2-mph average exit velocity in the past 7 days, Addison Barger has been in great form in recent games. In the past week, Addison Barger's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 37.5% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Over the past 14 days, Alejandro Kirk's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 97.4-mph of late. Over the past week, Alejandro Kirk's 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.6%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.309) implies that Alejandro Kirk has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .289 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Andres Gimenez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Minute Maid Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Gusto in today's matchup.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Anthony Santander's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 38.2% to 50%. Despite posting a .254 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Santander has had some very poor luck given the .076 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330. Checking in at the 77th percentile, Anthony Santander sports a .336 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.