San Diego @ Detroit Picks & Props
SD vs DET Picks
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SD vs DET Props
Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego
The #9 field in the league for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Reese Olson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 2nd-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Fernando Tatis Jr.'s true offensive skill to be a .386, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .059 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .445 wOBA.
Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • San Diego
Jose Iglesias is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game. The #9 field in the league for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Hitting from the same side that Reese Olson throws from, Jose Iglesias encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Jose Iglesias has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will be challenged by MLB's 10th-deepest RF fences today. Typically, bats like Jose Iglesias who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Reese Olson.
Oscar Gonzalez Total Hits Props • San Diego
Oscar Gonzalez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup. The #9 field in the league for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Batting from the same side that Reese Olson throws from, Oscar Gonzalez will not have the upper hand today. Oscar Gonzalez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Oscar Gonzalez tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Reese Olson.
Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego
The #9 field in the league for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Reese Olson will have the handedness advantage against Manny Machado today. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Manny Machado today.
Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • Detroit
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Given Kyle Hart's large platoon split, Gleyber Torres will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Gavin Sheets Total Hits Props • San Diego
Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage over Reese Olson in today's game. Gavin Sheets has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 96.6-mph in the last week's worth of games. In the last week, Gavin Sheets's 78.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.8%.
Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Xander Bogaerts has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph average. Xander Bogaerts's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (20.2° in the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 8.8° seasonal angle.
Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit
When estimating his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Trey Sweeney Total Hits Props • Detroit
Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Trey Sweeney will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Trey Sweeney has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .260 rate is considerably lower than his .309 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Trey Sweeney's 95.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 91st percentile since the start of last season.
Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Because of Kyle Hart's large platoon split, Spencer Torkelson will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit
Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Zach McKinstry will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Zach McKinstry's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph recently. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 15.3% to 22.2%.
Tyler Wade Total Hits Props • San Diego
Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Reese Olson throws from, Tyler Wade will have an edge today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.289) implies that Tyler Wade has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .258 actual wOBA.
Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit
Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Javier Baez will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Hart today... and the cherry on top, Hart has a large platoon split. Hitters such as Javier Baez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kyle Hart who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Javier Baez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Andy Ibanez Total Hits Props • Detroit
Andy Ibanez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Because of Kyle Hart's large platoon split, Andy Ibanez will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Andy Ibanez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Dillon Dingler Total Hits Props • Detroit
Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Considering Kyle Hart's large platoon split, Dillon Dingler will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Dillon Dingler will hold that advantage in today's game. Dillon Dingler has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 92.1-mph.
Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • San Diego
Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Martin Maldonado's 94-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 77th percentile since the start of last season. Martin Maldonado's 17.6° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in Major League Baseball: 82nd percentile.
Justyn-Henry Malloy Total Hits Props • Detroit
Justyn-Henry Malloy is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Given Kyle Hart's large platoon split, Justyn-Henry Malloy will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Justyn-Henry Malloy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Tirso Ornelas Total Hits Props • San Diego
Tirso Ornelas is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Reese Olson throws from, Tirso Ornelas will have the upper hand in today's game.
Connor Joe Total Hits Props • San Diego
Connor Joe has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.
Tomas Nido Total Hits Props • Detroit
Tomas Nido has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.
SD vs DET Trends
San Diego Trends
The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.15 Units / 59% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.10 Units / 27% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.45 Units / 19% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.35 Units / 18% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 20 games (-10.80 Units / -44% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have only hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 24 games (-6.85 Units / -23% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have only hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 22 games (-5.05 Units / -21% ROI)
Detroit Trends
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 44% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.35 Units / 22% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 33% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 24 games (-12.85 Units / -41% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 24 games (-7.80 Units / -28% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 20 games (-7.10 Units / -32% ROI)
SD vs DET Top User Picks
San Diego Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabster611 | 9-1-0 | +23405 |
| 2 | Infinite-H | 8-2-0 | +22730 |
| 3 | Bigboys9 | 6-4-0 | +20690 |
| 4 | CJONES1068 | 8-2-0 | +14925 |
| 5 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +13770 |
| 6 | Ollywood | 8-2-0 | +13087 |
| 7 | dude18555 | 5-5-0 | +13040 |
| 8 | vlkvlk2012 | 2-8-0 | +12910 |
| 9 | Moneyman00 | 6-4-0 | +12810 |
| 10 | dawoodman | 9-1-0 | +12745 |
| All Padres Money Leaders | |||
Detroit Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | salgundy | 2-8-0 | +20490 |
| 2 | PaPe454 | 8-2-0 | +19591 |
| 3 | WiNNipeg1973 | 6-4-0 | +18000 |
| 4 | vlkvlk2012 | 6-4-0 | +16650 |
| 5 | redwingfanattic | 4-6-0 | +16615 |
| 6 | unbuckle | 7-3-0 | +16170 |
| 7 | greekbanker | 1-9-0 | +15215 |
| 8 | jakringle | 6-4-0 | +15215 |
| 9 | Brayy_Wyatt | 4-6-0 | +15125 |
| 10 | DenverFlash | 7-3-0 | +15069 |
| All Tigers Money Leaders | |||