Baltimore @ Washington props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage over Tomoyuki Sugano in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like James Wood usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

Josh Bell is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Josh Bell has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Josh Bell generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Josh Bell will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 10°, Josh Bell has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 19.8° mark over the last week.

Cedric Mullins is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Given Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Cedric Mullins will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 24.4°, Cedric Mullins has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 33.2° figure over the past 14 days. Last season, Cedric Mullins had an average launch angle of 12.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 21.5°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Adley Rutschman pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Adley Rutschman has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.4-mph figure. Adley Rutschman's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (20.8°) is considerably higher than his 14.8° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Dylan Crews has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Dylan Crews will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Dylan Crews has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph. Dylan Crews has been hot of late, notching a a 20% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Williams in today's game... and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split. Jackson Holliday has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Jackson Holliday are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Trevor Williams. Jackson Holliday has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .258 mark is a fair amount lower than his .283 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #1 venue in the league for suppressing batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-lowest humidity of the day at 23%. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gunnar Henderson today.

The switch-hitting Nasim Nunez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Tomoyuki Sugano. Nasim Nunez has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Nasim Nunez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Nasim Nunez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's game... and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split. Ryan O'Hearn has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Ryan O'Hearn has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Jacob Young tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jacob Young has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 91.6-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 85.4-mph.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Tomoyuki Sugano today. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Jose Tena will have an edge in today's matchup. Jose Tena has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Hitters such as Jose Tena with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Jose Tena will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.7°, Tyler O'Neill has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 59° figure over the last week. Sporting a .346 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Tyler O'Neill grades out in the 86th percentile.

The 10th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Ryan Mountcastle has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Ryan Mountcastle has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Ryan Mountcastle has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 8.8% rate last season to 16% this year. In the past 7 days, Ryan Mountcastle's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Heston Kjerstad will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Heston Kjerstad has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 17.1% seasonal rate to 31.3% over the past 14 days. Heston Kjerstad has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.7-mph to 100.7-mph in the last week.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. Jordan Westburg has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 16.4% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the last 7 days. Compared to last season, Jordan Westburg has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.8% to 23.6% this season. In the past week's worth of games, Jordan Westburg's 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 23.6%.