Final Apr 30
STL 6 +124 o9.0
CIN 0 -135 u9.0
Final Apr 30
DET 7 +105 o8.0
HOU 4 -114 u8.0
Final Apr 30
ATL 1 -253 o10.0
COL 2 +227 u10.0
Final Apr 30
MIA 7 +269 o10.0
LAD 12 -304 u10.0
Final Apr 30
LAA 3 +123 o8.0
SEA 9 -134 u8.0
Final Apr 30
SF 3 +121 o7.0
SD 5 -131 u7.0
Final Apr 30
MIN 2 -102 o7.0
CLE 4 -106 u7.0
Final Apr 30
NYY 4 +110 o9.5
BAL 5 -119 u9.5
Final Apr 30
CHC 3 -169 o9.0
PIT 4 +155 u9.0
Final Apr 30
STL 9 -102 o9.5
CIN 1 -106 u9.5
Final Apr 30
WAS 2 +223 o8.0
PHI 7 -249 u8.0
Final Apr 30
KC 3 +142 o7.5
TB 0 -155 u7.5
Final (10) Apr 30
BOS 6 -101 o9.5
TOR 7 -108 u9.5
Final Apr 30
AZ 4 -107 o8.5
NYM 3 -101 u8.5
Final Apr 30
MIL 6 -145 o7.5
CHW 4 +133 u7.5
Final Apr 30
ATH 7 +131 o8.5
TEX 1 -142 u8.5

New York @ Tampa Bay props

George M. Steinbrenner Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Aranda
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jonathan Aranda will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Jonathan Aranda has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .477.

Jonathan Aranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jonathan Aranda will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Jonathan Aranda has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .477.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Chisholm Jr.
third base 3B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10% rate last season to 19.6% this season.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10% rate last season to 19.6% this season.

Chandler Simpson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

C. Simpson
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Chandler Simpson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Chandler Simpson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Chandler Simpson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul Goldschmidt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the past 14 days, Paul Goldschmidt has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .385.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul Goldschmidt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the past 14 days, Paul Goldschmidt has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .385.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Caballero
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Jose Caballero will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Caballero has been hot recently, hitting his way to a .389 wOBA over the last week. Jose Caballero has notched a .324 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile.

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Jose Caballero will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Caballero has been hot recently, hitting his way to a .389 wOBA over the last week. Jose Caballero has notched a .324 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile.

Ben Rice Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

B. Rice
first base 1B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Ben Rice is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup. Ben Rice has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 15.6% rate last season to 25.5% this season.

Ben Rice

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Ben Rice is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup. Ben Rice has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 15.6% rate last season to 25.5% this season.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Caminero
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Junior Caminero's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Junior Caminero will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Junior Caminero's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Junior Caminero will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Trent Grisham has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Trent Grisham has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last season's 94.1-mph figure. In the past 14 days, Trent Grisham has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .425.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Trent Grisham has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Trent Grisham has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last season's 94.1-mph figure. In the past 14 days, Trent Grisham has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .425.

Jake Mangum Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Mangum
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jake Mangum will get to bat from his strong side against Max Fried in today's matchup. Jake Mangum has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jake Mangum will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jake Mangum

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jake Mangum will get to bat from his strong side against Max Fried in today's matchup. Jake Mangum has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jake Mangum will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Barrel% of Anthony Volpe has significantly improved, with an increase from 4% last year to 14.6% this season. Anthony Volpe has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 87.6-mph figure. Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .238 mark is considerably lower than his .252 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Barrel% of Anthony Volpe has significantly improved, with an increase from 4% last year to 14.6% this season. Anthony Volpe has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 87.6-mph figure. Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .238 mark is considerably lower than his .252 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Cody Bellinger Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

C. Bellinger
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph average.

Cody Bellinger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph average.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Judge
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-263
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-263
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the majors. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In the past two weeks, Aaron Judge has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .511. Since the start of last season, Aaron Judge's 27% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 100th percentile among his peers.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the majors. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In the past two weeks, Aaron Judge has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .511. Since the start of last season, Aaron Judge's 27% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 100th percentile among his peers.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

D. Jansen
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Batters such as Danny Jansen with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Fried who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Danny Jansen will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Sporting a 1.43 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Danny Jansen has demonstrated strong plate discipline, grading out in the 94th percentile.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Batters such as Danny Jansen with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Fried who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Danny Jansen will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Sporting a 1.43 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Danny Jansen has demonstrated strong plate discipline, grading out in the 94th percentile.

Oswaldo Cabrera Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

O. Cabrera
third base 3B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Ryan Pepiot.

Oswaldo Cabrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Ryan Pepiot.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

C. Morel
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Christopher Morel will have an advantage in today's game. Christopher Morel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Christopher Morel will have an advantage in today's game. Christopher Morel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Y. Diaz
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 17th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Yandy Diaz will have an edge in today's game. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 17th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Yandy Diaz will have an edge in today's game. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Austin Wells Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Wells
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's game. Austin Wells has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph average. Austin Wells has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .223 rate is deflated compared to his .240 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Austin Wells has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 76th percentile with a 2 K/BB rate.

Austin Wells

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's game. Austin Wells has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph average. Austin Wells has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .223 rate is deflated compared to his .240 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Austin Wells has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 76th percentile with a 2 K/BB rate.

Jasson Dominguez Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Dominguez
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

Jasson Dominguez's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Jasson Dominguez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Ryan Pepiot in this game.

Jasson Dominguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jasson Dominguez's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Jasson Dominguez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Ryan Pepiot in this game.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Taylor Walls will get to bat from his better side against Max Fried in today's matchup. Taylor Walls will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Taylor Walls will get to bat from his better side against Max Fried in today's matchup. Taylor Walls will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Curtis Mead Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

C. Mead
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Curtis Mead is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Curtis Mead will have the upper hand today. Curtis Mead has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Curtis Mead will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Curtis Mead

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Curtis Mead is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Curtis Mead will have the upper hand today. Curtis Mead has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Curtis Mead will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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