New York @ Tampa Bay props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 7th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Typically, hitters like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Max Fried.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jonathan Aranda will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Jonathan Aranda has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .477.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Chandler Simpson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10% rate last season to 19.6% this season.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Jose Caballero will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Caballero has been hot recently, hitting his way to a .389 wOBA over the last week. Jose Caballero has notched a .324 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Ben Rice is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup. Ben Rice has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 15.6% rate last season to 25.5% this season.

Junior Caminero's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Junior Caminero will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trent Grisham has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Trent Grisham has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last season's 94.1-mph figure. In the past 14 days, Trent Grisham has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .425.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Barrel% of Anthony Volpe has significantly improved, with an increase from 4% last year to 14.6% this season. Anthony Volpe has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 87.6-mph figure. Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .238 mark is considerably lower than his .252 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jake Mangum will get to bat from his strong side against Max Fried in today's matchup. Jake Mangum has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jake Mangum will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul Goldschmidt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the past 14 days, Paul Goldschmidt has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .385.

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph average.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the majors. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In the past two weeks, Aaron Judge has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .511. Since the start of last season, Aaron Judge's 27% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 100th percentile among his peers.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Ryan Pepiot.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's game. Austin Wells has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph average. Austin Wells has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .223 rate is deflated compared to his .240 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Austin Wells has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 76th percentile with a 2 K/BB rate.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Christopher Morel will have an advantage in today's game. Christopher Morel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Taylor Walls will get to bat from his better side against Max Fried in today's matchup. Taylor Walls will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Batters such as Danny Jansen with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Fried who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Danny Jansen will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Sporting a 1.43 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Danny Jansen has demonstrated strong plate discipline, grading out in the 94th percentile.

Jasson Dominguez's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Jasson Dominguez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Ryan Pepiot in this game.

Curtis Mead is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Curtis Mead will have the upper hand today. Curtis Mead has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Curtis Mead will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.