Final Apr 30
STL 6 +124 o9.0
CIN 0 -135 u9.0
Final Apr 30
DET 7 +105 o8.0
HOU 4 -114 u8.0
Final Apr 30
ATL 1 -253 o10.0
COL 2 +227 u10.0
Final Apr 30
MIA 7 +269 o10.0
LAD 12 -304 u10.0
Final Apr 30
LAA 3 +123 o8.0
SEA 9 -134 u8.0
Final Apr 30
SF 3 +121 o7.0
SD 5 -131 u7.0
Final Apr 30
MIN 2 -102 o7.0
CLE 4 -106 u7.0
Final Apr 30
NYY 4 +110 o9.5
BAL 5 -119 u9.5
Final Apr 30
CHC 3 -169 o9.0
PIT 4 +155 u9.0
Final Apr 30
STL 9 -102 o9.5
CIN 1 -106 u9.5
Final Apr 30
WAS 2 +223 o8.0
PHI 7 -249 u8.0
Final Apr 30
KC 3 +142 o7.5
TB 0 -155 u7.5
Final (10) Apr 30
BOS 6 -101 o9.5
TOR 7 -108 u9.5
Final Apr 30
AZ 4 -107 o8.5
NYM 3 -101 u8.5
Final Apr 30
MIL 6 -145 o7.5
CHW 4 +133 u7.5
Final Apr 30
ATH 7 +131 o8.5
TEX 1 -142 u8.5

Chicago @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today.

Brooks Baldwin Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

B. Baldwin
second base 2B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. Brooks Baldwin has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last season's 90.6-mph EV.

Brooks Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. Brooks Baldwin has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last season's 90.6-mph EV.

Nick Maton Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

N. Maton
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Nick Maton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Houck throws from, Nick Maton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nick Maton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Nick Maton are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

Nick Maton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nick Maton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Houck throws from, Nick Maton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nick Maton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Nick Maton are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

Edgar Quero Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

E. Quero
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park.

Edgar Quero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park.

Andrew Benintendi Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Benintendi
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Andrew Benintendi's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Houck throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an advantage today. Andrew Benintendi has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Andrew Benintendi

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Andrew Benintendi's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Houck throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an advantage today. Andrew Benintendi has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Matt Thaiss Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

M. Thaiss
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Matt Thaiss is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Houck throws from, Matt Thaiss will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Matt Thaiss hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Thaiss has been great at making hard contact. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.3 mph) put him among the game's best: in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.

Matt Thaiss

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Matt Thaiss is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Houck throws from, Matt Thaiss will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Matt Thaiss hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Thaiss has been great at making hard contact. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.3 mph) put him among the game's best: in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.

Miguel Vargas Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

M. Vargas
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Miguel Vargas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Houck. Miguel Vargas has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 4.6% rate last year to 11.3% this year. Miguel Vargas has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 86.2-mph EV.

Miguel Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Miguel Vargas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Houck. Miguel Vargas has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 4.6% rate last year to 11.3% this year. Miguel Vargas has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 86.2-mph EV.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Sean Burke today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Triston Casas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Sean Burke today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Triston Casas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Chase Meidroth Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

C. Meidroth
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Chase Meidroth is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks.

Chase Meidroth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Meidroth is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Burke in today's matchup. Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Burke in today's matchup. Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Blake Sabol Total Hits Props • Boston

B. Sabol
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Blake Sabol will have an edge in today's matchup. Blake Sabol has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Blake Sabol will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Blake Sabol

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Blake Sabol will have an edge in today's matchup. Blake Sabol has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Blake Sabol will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. David Hamilton has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. David Hamilton has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Luis Robert Jr. Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Robert Jr.
center outfield CF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

Luis Robert Jr.'s BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks.

Luis Robert Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Luis Robert Jr.'s BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks.

Lenyn Sosa Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Sosa
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Lenyn Sosa has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Lenyn Sosa has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .257 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .296.

Lenyn Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Lenyn Sosa has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Lenyn Sosa has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .257 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .296.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Kristian Campbell Total Hits Props • Boston

K. Campbell
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Kristian Campbell has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Kristian Campbell will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kristian Campbell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Kristian Campbell has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Kristian Campbell will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Joshua Palacios Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

J. Palacios
right outfield RF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. Joshua Palacios will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Houck today.

Joshua Palacios

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. Joshua Palacios will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Houck today.

Jacob Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

J. Amaya
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jacob Amaya has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jacob Amaya

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jacob Amaya has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Bregman
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-255
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-255
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Alex Bregman will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Alex Bregman will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Wilyer Abreu has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's game. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Wilyer Abreu has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's game. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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