Chicago @ Boston Picks & Props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today.

The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. Brooks Baldwin has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last season's 90.6-mph EV.

Nick Maton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Houck throws from, Nick Maton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nick Maton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Nick Maton are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

Andrew Benintendi's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Houck throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an advantage today. Andrew Benintendi has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park.

Matt Thaiss is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Houck throws from, Matt Thaiss will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Matt Thaiss hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Thaiss has been great at making hard contact. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.3 mph) put him among the game's best: in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Miguel Vargas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Houck. Miguel Vargas has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 4.6% rate last year to 11.3% this year. Miguel Vargas has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 86.2-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Sean Burke today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Triston Casas will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Burke in today's matchup. Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Chase Meidroth is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks.

The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Blake Sabol will have an edge in today's matchup. Blake Sabol has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Blake Sabol will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. David Hamilton has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Luis Robert Jr.'s BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Kristian Campbell has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Kristian Campbell will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Lenyn Sosa has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Lenyn Sosa has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .257 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .296.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.

The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. Joshua Palacios will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Houck today.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jacob Amaya has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Alex Bregman will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Wilyer Abreu has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's game. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.