St. Louis @ New York props

Thomas Saggese's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Thomas Saggese is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Thomas Saggese has been hot recently, batting his way to a .416 wOBA in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Willson Contreras has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98-mph average to last season's 95.1-mph average. Since the start of last season, Willson Contreras's 11.1% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Victor Scott II will have the handedness advantage against Clay Holmes today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.221) provides evidence that Victor Scott II has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .199 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jordan Walker has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.5 mph (a reliable standard to measure power), placing in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Luisangel Acuna hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Luisangel Acuna will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Clay Holmes in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Nolan Gorman tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes. In the past week, Nolan Gorman has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .365. Since the start of last season, Nolan Gorman's 17.4% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Nolan Arenado has been hot lately, hitting his way to a .362 wOBA in the past week. With a 1.77 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nolan Arenado has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, placing in the 85th percentile. Placing in the 86th percentile, Nolan Arenado sits with a .274 batting average since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the past week, Lars Nootbaar has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .365.

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Pete Alonso has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 13.2% rate last year to 22.4% this year.

Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) provides evidence that Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .238 actual batting average.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Francisco Lindor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage today. Francisco Lindor has recorded a .361 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 92nd percentile.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clay Holmes today. Alec Burleson has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Posting a .269 batting average since the start of last season, Alec Burleson finds himself in the 82nd percentile.

Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Jesse Winker will have the handedness advantage over Sonny Gray today. Jesse Winker has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jesse Winker will hold that advantage today. Posting a 1.77 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jesse Winker has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Brendan Donovan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clay Holmes today. Brendan Donovan has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brendan Donovan has been hot in recent games, posting a .420 wOBA over the past two weeks.

Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage against Sonny Gray in today's matchup. Brett Baty has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game. The Barrel% of Brett Baty has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.5% last year to 11.8% this season. Brett Baty has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90-mph average to last season's 86.6-mph figure.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Hayden Senger will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.