Washington @ Colorado Picks & Props

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. There has been a significant decline in Michael Toglia's launch angle from last season's 15.1° to 8.8° this year. When it comes to his home runs, Michael Toglia has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 29.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 26.4.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for James Wood today. In terms of his home runs, James Wood has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 21.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.9. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, James Wood ranks in just the 0th percentile with a 2.6° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Batting from the same side that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage in today's game. In the last week, Ryan McMahon's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.7% down to 0%.

When assessing his home run talent, Nasim Nunez ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nasim Nunez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Nasim Nunez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Nasim Nunez has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) in the last week's worth of games.

As it relates to his home run talent, Jacob Young ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jacob Young is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today's game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Hitting from the same side that Chase Dollander throws from, Jacob Young will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jacob Young today.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Keibert Ruiz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (7.4°) is significantly worse than his 14.2° angle last year. Keibert Ruiz has been cold lately, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) in the past two weeks. Keibert Ruiz has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .280 figure is a fair amount higher than his .257 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Ezequiel Tovar has had some very good luck with with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .317 figure is a fair amount higher than his .283 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ezequiel Tovar has put up a .291 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 25th percentile. Ezequiel Tovar has displayed poor plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 0th percentile with a 9.33 K/BB rate.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Josh Bell will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Josh Bell's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88.7-mph figure last year has dropped to 84.8-mph. Josh Bell's launch angle this season (6.6°) is considerably lower than his 10.1° angle last year. Josh Bell has struggled to lift the ball in recent games, posting a 3.6° launch angle over the past 14 days.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nathaniel Lowe today. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 14.8% to 7.7%. When it comes to his home runs, Nathaniel Lowe has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 17.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 12.3.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zac Veen in the 15th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Zac Veen is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Batting from the same side that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Zac Veen will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Zac Veen has been cold recently, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Batting from the same side that Chase Dollander throws from, Alex Call encounters a tough challenge today. Alex Call will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Alex Call has recorded a mere a 3.1% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Alex Call has exhibited some bad exit velocity stats recently, averaging just 86.8-mph on his flyballs over the last 7 days.

Sean Bouchard has been pulled from the game early 32% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound since the start of last season. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Sean Bouchard has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .282 rate is considerably higher than his .258 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Batting from the same side that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Mickey Moniak will have a tough matchup today. Extreme groundball bats like Mickey Moniak are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like MacKenzie Gore. Mickey Moniak has been cold in recent games, posting a 3.8% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) over the last 14 days.

Jose Tena is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Jose Tena will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Tena ranks in just the 17th percentile with a 7.5° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in the league. Jose Tena has recorded a .131 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

Dylan Crews is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Batting from the same side that Chase Dollander throws from, Dylan Crews will have a tough challenge in today's game. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dylan Crews in today's game. Dylan Crews grades out in the 8th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (8.5% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Farmer in the 25th percentile when estimating his home run skill. When starting against a lefty hurler since the start of last season, Kyle Farmer has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 49% of the time. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. From last season to this one, Kyle Farmer's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 90.3 mph to 85.1 mph. Kyle Farmer has paced 10 homers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 17th percentile for power.

Adael Amador is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. In the past 7 days, Adael Amador has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power). Adael Amador has displayed some bad exit velocity stats of late, averaging just 84.8-mph on his flyballs in the last week's worth of games. Utilizing Statcast data, Adael Amador ranks in the 13th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .246.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jacob Stallings ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jacob Stallings is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Jacob Stallings has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .337 rate is quite a bit higher than his .302 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jacob Stallings's 86.4-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in the game since the start of last season: 24th percentile.

When it comes to his home run ability, Amed Rosario ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Chase Dollander will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Amed Rosario in today's matchup. Amed Rosario will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Amed Rosario has been cold recently, posting an 85.7-mph average exit velocity over the past week.

Since the start of last season, Hunter Goodman has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 25% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 48°. Hunter Goodman's launch angle recently (8° in the last week's worth of games) is quite a bit lower than his 19.5° seasonal figure. Hunter Goodman has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 33.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 29.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. As it relates to plate discipline, Hunter Goodman's ability is quite poor, posting a 7.27 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 9th percentile.