Washington @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props
WAS vs PIT Picks
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WAS vs PIT Consensus Picks
WAS vs PIT Props
Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington
Keibert Ruiz's BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Long-balls are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of the day at 44°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Keibert Ruiz's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 90.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 83.9-mph in the last two weeks.
Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Long-balls are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of the day at 44°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage over Ke'Bryan Hayes in today's game. In the past week, Ke'Bryan Hayes's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%. In the past 7 days, Ke'Bryan Hayes's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.3%.
James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington
As it relates to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Extreme flyball bats like Dylan Crews generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Keller.
Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Enmanuel Valdez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Enmanuel Valdez will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup.
Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Nasim Nunez Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Nasim Nunez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Mitch Keller. Extreme flyball batters like Nasim Nunez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Keller.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington
Josh Bell is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Extreme flyball hitters like Josh Bell tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Keller.
Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Jack Suwinski is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Jack Suwinski will have the upper hand today.
Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Adam Frazier will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington
Alex Call has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington
Jacob Young's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Batters such as Jacob Young with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Mitch Keller who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Joey Bart is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage today. Henry Davis has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .204 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .230 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Tommy Pham will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Tommy Pham has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .287 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .304 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Washington
PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Over the past 14 days, Paul DeJong has posted a 23.2° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.
WAS vs PIT Trends
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.95 Units / 37% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 39 games (+5.45 Units / 13% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 77 away games (+4.44 Units / 5% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 163 games (+0.70 Units / 0% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 76 of their last 161 games (-19.70 Units / -10% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 79 away games (-14.60 Units / -16% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Under in 75 of their last 163 games (-13.60 Units / -8% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Team Total Under in 1 of their last 10 games (-10.25 Units / -82% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 79 away games (-8.75 Units / -11% ROI)
Pittsburgh Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 91 of their last 163 games (+7.75 Units / 4% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 83 games at home (+4.00 Units / 4% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 83 games at home (+3.25 Units / 3% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 123 games (+5.40 Units / 3% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.65 Units / 17% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 163 games (-32.50 Units / -17% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 163 games (-23.70 Units / -12% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 79 of their last 163 games (-15.65 Units / -8% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only covered the Run Line in 79 of their last 163 games (-15.60 Units / -7% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 83 games at home (-14.50 Units / -14% ROI)
WAS vs PIT Top User Picks
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||
Pittsburgh Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CJONES1068 | 4-5-1 | +24865 |
| 2 | ThorsHammer | 5-5-0 | +20390 |
| 3 | halfricanknight | 4-6-0 | +18418 |
| 4 | MLBFan8848 | 6-3-1 | +18105 |
| 5 | samua | 6-3-1 | +16845 |
| 6 | chefsloan7 | 5-4-1 | +16115 |
| 7 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +15215 |
| 8 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +15140 |
| 9 | jnc3lb | 7-2-1 | +13730 |
| 10 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +13455 |
| All Pirates Money Leaders | |||