Detroit @ Minnesota Picks & Props
DET vs MIN Picks
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DET vs MIN Consensus Picks
DET vs MIN Props
Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Matt Wallner ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Wallner is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Matt Wallner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Matt Wallner are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Casey Mize.
Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Extreme flyball batters like Javier Baez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Simeon Woods Richard. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Javier Baez has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .233 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .275.
Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield fences in MLB. Casey Mize will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Correa in today's matchup. Carlos Correa's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 92.3-mph mark last year has decreased to 89.4-mph. Carlos Correa's launch angle this year (5.7°) is quite a bit worse than his 9° figure last season. Carlos Correa has struggled to lift the ball recently, posting a -6.7° launch angle in the past week's worth of games.
Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The #9 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Brooks Lee will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Casey Mize in this game. Brooks Lee will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Trevor Larnach will have the handedness advantage over Casey Mize in today's game. Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Trevor Larnach has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .324 mark is quite a bit lower than his .350 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Edouard Julien is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Edouard Julien will have the handedness advantage over Casey Mize in today's matchup. Edouard Julien will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • Detroit
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team today. Gleyber Torres has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a key skill for batting average), checking in at the 93rd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.
Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Willi Castro is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will get to bat from his good side against Casey Mize in this game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's game. Willi Castro's launch angle this year (21°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.4° mark last year.
Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Colt Keith is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Colt Keith will hold the platoon advantage over Simeon Woods Richard in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team today.
Ryan Kreidler Total Hits Props • Detroit
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.217) suggests that Ryan Kreidler has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .169 actual wOBA.
Dillon Dingler Total Hits Props • Detroit
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team today. Dillon Dingler has been hot lately, notching a 94.8-mph average exit velocity over the last week. Dillon Dingler has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, striking balls between 23° and 34° 22.2% of the time in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 4th-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP skill. Riley Greene is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage over Simeon Woods Richard in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team today.
Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's game. Harrison Bader has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 6.4% rate last season to 20% this year. Harrison Bader has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 90.2-mph figure. Harrison Bader's launch angle this season (24.3°) is quite a bit better than his 11.7° mark last season.
Ty France Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Ty France is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Ty France will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ty France's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 41.6% to 60%.
Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team today.
Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Zach McKinstry will have the upper hand today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team today. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 15.3% to 20.6%. Zach McKinstry has been lifting the ball well in recent games, posting a 25.4° launch angle in the past week's worth of games.
Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Byron Buxton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Extreme groundball hitters like Byron Buxton tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Casey Mize. Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Trey Sweeney Total Hits Props • Detroit
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Trey Sweeney will have the upper hand in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team today.
Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Ryan Jeffers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ryan Jeffers has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, striking balls between -4° and 26° 60% of the time over the past two weeks.
Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team today. Spencer Torkelson has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.8% rate last season to 12.9% this season.
Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Christian Vazquez has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
DET vs MIN Trends
Detroit Trends
The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 86 away games (+15.80 Units / 12% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 91 of their last 171 games (+8.25 Units / 4% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 86 away games (+1.75 Units / 2% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 86 away games (+6.80 Units / 7% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 86 away games (+6.25 Units / 7% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only hit the Team Total Under in 82 of their last 171 games (-17.35 Units / -9% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 81 of their last 165 games (-15.45 Units / -8% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 86 away games (-14.70 Units / -15% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 171 games (-6.40 Units / -3% ROI)
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 81 games at home (+11.20 Units / 13% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.20 Units / 35% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 84 of their last 162 games (+0.91 Units / 0% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Moneyline in 82 of their last 166 games (-26.20 Units / -11% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 166 games (-24.00 Units / -13% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only covered the Run Line in 73 of their last 166 games (-23.80 Units / -11% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 78 of their last 162 games (-21.00 Units / -10% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 15 games (-4.45 Units / -25% ROI)
DET vs MIN Top User Picks
Detroit Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | salgundy | 2-8-0 | +20490 |
| 2 | PaPe454 | 8-2-0 | +19591 |
| 3 | WiNNipeg1973 | 6-4-0 | +18000 |
| 4 | vlkvlk2012 | 6-4-0 | +16650 |
| 5 | redwingfanattic | 4-6-0 | +16615 |
| 6 | unbuckle | 7-3-0 | +16170 |
| 7 | greekbanker | 1-9-0 | +15215 |
| 8 | jakringle | 6-4-0 | +15215 |
| 9 | Brayy_Wyatt | 4-6-0 | +15125 |
| 10 | DenverFlash | 7-3-0 | +15069 |
| All Tigers Money Leaders | |||
Minnesota Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
| 2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
| 3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
| 4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
| 5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
| 7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
| 8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
| 9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
| 10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
| All Twins Money Leaders | |||