Colorado @ San Diego Picks & Props

When it comes to his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Arraez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Luis Arraez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Posting a .317 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Luis Arraez finds himself in the 99th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Ezequiel Tovar has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 4.3% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the last week. In the past 7 days, Ezequiel Tovar's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.8%.

Kris Bryant is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Kris Bryant hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Putting up a 95.1-mph average exit velocity in the last week, Kris Bryant has been in great form recently. Kris Bryant has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 71.4% of the time over the last two weeks. Kris Bryant is in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Ryan McMahon's launch angle from last year's 9.6° to 18.5° this year. In the last 7 days, Ryan McMahon has posted a 47.6° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. When it comes to his batting average, Hunter Goodman has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .194 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .209.

Kyle Farmer is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Kyle Farmer has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.6-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90.2-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Xander Bogaerts will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Zac Veen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's matchup. Zac Veen has hit one of the hardest balls in the league over the past week — 109.2-mph — which is a strong measure of recent form and raw power.

Michael Toglia is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. In the last week's worth of games, Michael Toglia's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph in recent games. As it relates to his batting average, Michael Toglia has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .212 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .224.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Yuli Gurriel will have an advantage today. Yuli Gurriel will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Yuli Gurriel's speed has gotten better this season. His 25.2 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.28 ft/sec now. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Yuli Gurriel has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .251 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .282.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Manny Machado will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland in today's game. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game.

Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an edge today. Mickey Moniak has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, striking balls between 23° and 34° 25% of the time over the last 14 days. Mickey Moniak's 19.5° launch angle (a reliable metric to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the game: 93rd percentile.

Nick Martini is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Nick Martini will have the upper hand in today's game.

Oscar Gonzalez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oscar Gonzalez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Oscar Gonzalez will have an edge in today's matchup. Oscar Gonzalez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Oscar Gonzalez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Elias Diaz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland in today's matchup. Elias Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the last week, Elias Diaz's maximum exit velocity (a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 111.4-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Jose Iglesias will have an edge in today's game. Jose Iglesias will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jose Iglesias grades out in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50.8% rate since the start of last season). Ranking in the 89th percentile, Jose Iglesias has notched a .355 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Brandon Lockridge will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland today. Brandon Lockridge will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.