Colorado @ San Diego Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 6th-worst venue in the game for left-handed batting average. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. There has been a significant decline in Luis Arraez's launch angle from last season's 13.5° to 8.9° this season. Luis Arraez's 1.5% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 1st percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Luis Arraez's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) is in the 6th percentile at 87.9 mph.

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand today. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 15.1% to 18.2%.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.224) may lead us to conclude that Michael Toglia has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .210 actual batting average. Ranked in the 93rd percentile, Michael Toglia has one of the highest average exit velocities in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (92.2-mph).

Kyle Farmer is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Kyle Farmer has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 5.4% rate last year to 11.1% this season. Compared to last year, Kyle Farmer has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 20.8% to 25.9% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Brenton Doyle hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Brenton Doyle has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 89.1-mph mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Manny Machado has compiled a .336 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jason Heyward will have the handedness advantage against German Marquez in today's matchup. Jason Heyward will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jason Heyward has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 26.83 ft/sec to 27.31 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Jason Heyward has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .207 figure is deflated compared to his .231 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an edge in today's game. Mickey Moniak's 19.3° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the league: 91st percentile.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Brandon Lockridge will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 98th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.39 ft/sec this year, Brandon Lockridge is notably toolsy.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Hitting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand in today's game. Gavin Sheets will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Jake Cronenworth has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Martin Maldonado has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Xander Bogaerts has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Hunter Goodman has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Jose Iglesias has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Zac Veen has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Kris Bryant has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Nick Martini has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Elias Diaz has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Ezequiel Tovar has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.