San Diego @ Athletics Picks & Props

Sutter Health Park grades out as the #28 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Luis Arraez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's launch angle this season (5.6°) is significantly worse than his 13.5° mark last season. Luis Arraez has been cold recently, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) in the past two weeks.

Sutter Health Park grades out as the #28 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Merrill in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in MLB for RHB BABIP. Luis Severino will have the handedness advantage against Manny Machado today. Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. This year, Manny Machado's Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 11.1% last year to just 3.7% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in MLB for RHB BABIP. Luis Severino will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 93.4-mph figure last year has fallen to 90.4-mph.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Jacob Wilson is projected as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Extreme flyball hitters like Jacob Wilson usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael King. Jacob Wilson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Among every team playing today, the 9th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Athletics. Xander Bogaerts's speed has increased this season. His 27.39 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.19 ft/sec now.

Tyler Soderstrom is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Tyler Soderstrom will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Tyler Soderstrom tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael King.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Lawrence Butler will have the handedness advantage against Michael King today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Miguel Andujar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Placing in the 93rd percentile, Miguel Andujar has notched a .292 batting average since the start of last season.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Max Muncy will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Max Muncy has averaged an impressive 98-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential. Over the past two weeks, Max Muncy has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 29.5° angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Shea Langeliers will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Severino in today's matchup.

Gavin Sheets has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage today. Among every team playing today, the 9th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Athletics.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Among every team playing today, the 9th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Athletics. Elias Diaz has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, angling balls between -4° and 26° 66.7% of the time in the last 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brent Rooker ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brent Rooker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brent Rooker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Among every team playing today, the 9th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Athletics. Brandon Lockridge is very toolsy, checking in at the 97th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.23 ft/sec this year.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Jason Heyward will have the upper hand today. Among every team playing today, the 9th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Athletics. When it comes to his batting average, Jason Heyward has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .203 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .236.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Gio Urshela will hold that advantage in today's game. Gio Urshela has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .242 figure is deflated compared to his .271 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

J.J. Bleday is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. J.J. Bleday will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game. J.J. Bleday will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.