STL +121 o9.0
CIN -131 u9.0
TB -137 o9.0
WAS +126 u9.0
ATL +163 o9.0
PHI -178 u9.0
MIL +117 o7.5
TOR -126 u7.5
SEA -152 o7.5
CLE +140 u7.5
PIT +103 o8.0
BOS -112 u8.0
MIA +161 o7.5
NYM -176 u7.5
NYY -213 o9.0
CHW +193 u9.0
LAA +142 o9.0
HOU -155 u9.0
DET +107 o9.0
KC -116 u9.0
SD -125 o8.5
MIN +116 u8.5
CHC -215 o11.0
COL +195 u11.0
TEX +130 o10.0
ATH -141 u10.0
AZ +174 o8.5
LAD -191 u8.5
BAL +128 o7.5
SF -138 u7.5

Miami @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Derek Hill Total Hits Props • Miami

Derek Hill
D. Hill
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In the last week's worth of games, Derek Hill's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 60% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°. Derek Hill has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .244 rate is a good deal lower than his .280 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Derek Hill is in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (49.6% rate since the start of last season).

Derek Hill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In the last week's worth of games, Derek Hill's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 60% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°. Derek Hill has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .244 rate is a good deal lower than his .280 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Derek Hill is in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (49.6% rate since the start of last season).

Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami

Dane Myers
D. Myers
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Dane Myers hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Dane Myers's launch angle recently (54.5° in the last week's worth of games) is considerably higher than his 10.7° seasonal mark.

Dane Myers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Dane Myers hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Dane Myers's launch angle recently (54.5° in the last week's worth of games) is considerably higher than his 10.7° seasonal mark.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

Nick Fortes
N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Over the past week, Nick Fortes has displayed impressive power, recording a a 28.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power).

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Over the past week, Nick Fortes has displayed impressive power, recording a a 28.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power).

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

Xavier Edwards
X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 2nd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (6°) is quite a bit lower than his 10.8° figure last year. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) may lead us to conclude that Xavier Edwards has had positive variance on his side this year with his .303 actual batting average.

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 2nd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (6°) is quite a bit lower than his 10.8° figure last year. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) may lead us to conclude that Xavier Edwards has had positive variance on his side this year with his .303 actual batting average.

Nick Allen Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Nick Allen
N. Allen
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Nick Allen will hold that advantage today. Nick Allen's launch angle of late (31° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 12.7° seasonal angle.

Nick Allen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Nick Allen will hold that advantage today. Nick Allen's launch angle of late (31° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 12.7° seasonal angle.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Jurickson Profar
J. Profar
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage today.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage today.

Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami

Javier Sanoja
J. Sanoja
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Javier Sanoja hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Javier Sanoja has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .244 rate is a good deal lower than his .287 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Javier Sanoja

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Javier Sanoja hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Javier Sanoja has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .244 rate is a good deal lower than his .287 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Sean Murphy
S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Sean Murphy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Sean Murphy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Bryan De La Cruz
B. De La Cruz
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Bryan De La Cruz has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 16.5° figure is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (86th percentile).

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Bryan De La Cruz has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 16.5° figure is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (86th percentile).

Jonah Bride Total Hits Props • Miami

Jonah Bride
J. Bride
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jonah Bride has been lifting the ball well of late, notching a 40° launch angle in the last 7 days. Jonah Bride has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile with a 1.8 K/BB rate.

Jonah Bride

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jonah Bride has been lifting the ball well of late, notching a 40° launch angle in the last 7 days. Jonah Bride has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile with a 1.8 K/BB rate.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

Otto Lopez
O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Otto Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Graham Pauley Total Hits Props • Miami

Graham Pauley
G. Pauley
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Graham Pauley will have an edge in today's game. Graham Pauley has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 93.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 91.3-mph.

Graham Pauley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Graham Pauley will have an edge in today's game. Graham Pauley has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 93.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 91.3-mph.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Austin Riley
A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In the past 14 days, Austin Riley has posted a 32.2° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.372) may lead us to conclude that Austin Riley has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .331 actual wOBA. Since the start of last season, Austin Riley's 15.5% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 96th percentile among his peers.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In the past 14 days, Austin Riley has posted a 32.2° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.372) may lead us to conclude that Austin Riley has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .331 actual wOBA. Since the start of last season, Austin Riley's 15.5% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 96th percentile among his peers.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Gusto today.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Gusto today.

Jakob Marsee Total Hits Props • Miami

Jakob Marsee
J. Marsee
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an edge in today's matchup.

Jakob Marsee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an edge in today's matchup.

Liam Hicks Total Hits Props • Miami

Liam Hicks
L. Hicks
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Liam Hicks is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Liam Hicks will hold the platoon advantage over Hurston Waldrep in today's matchup. Liam Hicks's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 21.8% on the season to 31.3% in the last 7 days.

Liam Hicks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Liam Hicks is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Liam Hicks will hold the platoon advantage over Hurston Waldrep in today's matchup. Liam Hicks's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 21.8% on the season to 31.3% in the last 7 days.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage today.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage today.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Ozzie Albies will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ozzie Albies has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.6-mph EV.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Ozzie Albies will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ozzie Albies has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.6-mph EV.

Heriberto Hernandez Total Hits Props • Miami

Heriberto Hernandez
H. Hernandez
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Heriberto Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Drake Baldwin Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Drake Baldwin
D. Baldwin
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Drake Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Jarred Kelenic Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Jarred Kelenic
J. Kelenic
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.316) may lead us to conclude that Jarred Kelenic has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .287 actual wOBA.

Jarred Kelenic

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.316) may lead us to conclude that Jarred Kelenic has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .287 actual wOBA.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Agustin Ramirez Total Hits Props • Miami

Agustin Ramirez
A. Ramirez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Agustin Ramirez in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. When it comes to his batting average, Agustin Ramirez has experienced some negative variance this year. His .240 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.

Agustin Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Agustin Ramirez in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. When it comes to his batting average, Agustin Ramirez has experienced some negative variance this year. His .240 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.

Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami

Kyle Stowers
K. Stowers
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Kyle Stowers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Troy Johnston Total Hits Props • Miami

Troy Johnston
T. Johnston
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Troy Johnston will have the upper hand today. In the last 7 days, Troy Johnston has displayed impressive power, recording a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power).

Troy Johnston

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Troy Johnston will have the upper hand today. In the last 7 days, Troy Johnston has displayed impressive power, recording a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power).

Matt Mervis Total Hits Props • Miami

Matt Mervis
M. Mervis
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

Matt Mervis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Orlando Arcia
O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

Griffin Conine Total Hits Props • Miami

Griffin Conine
G. Conine
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In the last week's worth of games, Griffin Conine has displayed impressive power, recording a a 21.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power). Over the past week, Griffin Conine has averaged an impressive 97.3-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.

Griffin Conine

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In the last week's worth of games, Griffin Conine has displayed impressive power, recording a a 21.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power). Over the past week, Griffin Conine has averaged an impressive 97.3-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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// Scripts for MLB A/B test