Miami @ Atlanta picks
Truist Park
MIA vs ATL Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Otto Lopez has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.2% rate last season to 15.4% this year.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.289) suggests that Otto Lopez has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .273 actual batting average.. By putting up a .267 batting average since the start of last season, Otto Lopez finds himself in the 78th percentile.
Total RBIs

Jonah Bride o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Jonah Bride has been lifting the ball well of late, notching a 40° launch angle in the last 7 days.. Jonah Bride has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile with a 1.8 K/BB rate.
Total RBIs

Matt Mervis o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
Total RBIs

Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. In the past 14 days, Austin Riley has posted a 32.2° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.. Austin Riley has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 23.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly deflated relative to his 30.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Since the start of last season, Austin Riley's 15.5% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 96th percentile among his peers.
Total RBIs

Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. In the past week's worth of games, Ozzie Albies's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 31.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.. Ozzie Albies has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 14.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 19.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Grading out in the 82nd percentile, the hardest ball Ozzie Albies has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Stowers o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+135)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Kyle Stowers has exhibited some good exit velocity stats in recent games, averaging 104.5-mph on his flyballs over the last 14 days.. Kyle Stowers has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 10.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably lower than his 19.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Kyle Stowers grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50.4% rate since the start of last season).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Derek Hill o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. In the last week's worth of games, Derek Hill's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 60% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.. Derek Hill is in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (49.6% rate since the start of last season).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Javier Sanoja o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nick Fortes o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Over the past week, Nick Fortes has displayed impressive power, recording a a 28.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Graham Pauley o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Over the past 7 days, Graham Pauley has displayed impressive power, recording a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power).. Over the last 7 days, Graham Pauley's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 57.1% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.