Miami @ Atlanta picks
Truist Park
MIA vs ATL Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Jurickson Profar o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits.. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits.. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Total RBIs

Jonah Bride o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Jonah Bride has been lifting the ball well of late, notching a 40° launch angle in the last 7 days.. Jonah Bride has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile with a 1.8 K/BB rate.
Total RBIs

Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Sean Murphy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits.. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Ozzie Albies will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Ozzie Albies has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.6-mph EV.
Total RBIs

Matt Mervis o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Total RBIs

Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. In the past 14 days, Austin Riley has posted a 32.2° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.. Austin Riley has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 23.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly deflated relative to his 30.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Since the start of last season, Austin Riley's 15.5% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 96th percentile among his peers.
Total RBIs

Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run skill, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Heriberto Hernandez has big-time power (83rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (31% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Hurston Waldrep is a pitch-to-contact type (8th percentile K%) — great news for Hernandez.
Total RBIs

Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed base hits.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Gusto today.
Total RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage today.