Toronto @ New York Picks & Props

Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.314) may lead us to conclude that Jose Siri has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .268 actual wOBA. Jose Siri and his 20.4° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 97th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Alan Roden will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest among every team today. Alan Roden has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 98.8-mph.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest among every team today. In the last week, Anthony Santander's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 84.6% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Anthony Santander ranks in the 100th percentile with a 22.6° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Will Wagner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Will Wagner tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Griffin Canning. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest among every team today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest among every team today. Over the past week, George Springer has displayed impressive power, recording a a 33.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power). Over the past week, George Springer has averaged an impressive 104.6-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage over Griffin Canning in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Andres Gimenez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Griffin Canning.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest among every team today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot recently, putting up a 97-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 9th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill. Bo Bichette is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest among every team today. Compared to last season, Bo Bichette has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 45% to 61.5% this season.

Luis Torrens hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Luis Torrens has displayed impressive power, recording a a 22.2% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power). Luis Torrens has been hot recently, notching a 94.5-mph average exit velocity over the last 7 days. Luis Torrens has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, striking balls between -4° and 26° 55.6% of the time in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Nathan Lukes will have the handedness advantage over Griffin Canning in today's matchup. Nathan Lukes has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Bats such as Nathan Lukes with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Griffin Canning who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest among every team today.

The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest among every team today. Ranking in the 81st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28 ft/sec this year, Myles Straw is remarkably quick.

Jesse Winker has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Given Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Jesse Winker will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Jesse Winker has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jesse Winker will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Checking in at the 75th percentile, Jesse Winker has notched a .334 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. With a .368 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Francisco Lindor is ranked in the 94th percentile for offensive ability.

Pete Alonso projects as the 18th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Pete Alonso's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 31.6% up to 31.6%.

Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Brett Baty has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Bats such as Brett Baty with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Chris Bassitt who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game. Brett Baty has been hot of late, posting a 96.1-mph average exit velocity in the last week.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game... and moreover, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest among every team today. Alejandro Kirk has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 24.71 ft/sec to 25.51 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos's 13.9% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers. Mark Vientos's 95.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Brandon Nimmo will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Brandon Nimmo has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Hayden Senger will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.