Colorado @ Philadelphia props

The #4 venue in the majors for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the schedule today at 49°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Posting a 0.8° launch angle in the last week's worth of games suggests that Alec Bohm has been finding it challenging to lift the ball in recent games, which is a key component of hitting for power.

The #4 venue in the majors for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the schedule today at 49°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Trea Turner has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .293 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .267 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an edge today. Extreme groundball bats like Mickey Moniak are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Zack Wheeler. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile with a 19.5° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the league.

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge today. Ryan McMahon has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today. Ryan McMahon's 92.1-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in MLB since the start of last season: 93rd percentile.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today. Michael Toglia has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .213 mark is considerably lower than his .231 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Michael Toglia's 17.2% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 98th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Michael Toglia's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 94th percentile at 95.9 mph.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Notching a 99.2-mph average exit velocity over the last 7 days, Brandon Marsh has been in great form recently. Brandon Marsh ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (46.7% rate since the start of last season).

Ezequiel Tovar's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today. Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Ezequiel Tovar sits with a .319 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game. Bryson Stott has shown good plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's game. Max Kepler has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, angling balls between -4° and 26° 71.4% of the time over the past 7 days. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Max Kepler has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.4 mph (an advanced standard to assess power), checking in at the 92nd percentile. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Max Kepler ranks in the 80th percentile with a 16.7° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the game.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today. Kyle Farmer grades out in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (20.2% rate since the start of last season).

Kris Bryant is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Kris Bryant pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today. In the past 7 days, Kris Bryant's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 60% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Nick Martini will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Bryce Harper has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryce Harper will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Bryce Harper's maximum exit velocity (a strong proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 109.5-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today. Jordan Beck has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .231 mark is a good deal lower than his .261 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Castellanos's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an edge in today's matchup. Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have an edge in today's game. J.T. Realmuto will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, J.T. Realmuto's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 28.6% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Kyle Schwarber will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last week, Kyle Schwarber's maximum exit velocity (a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 112.5-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in MLB.

Hunter Goodman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today. Since the start of last season, Hunter Goodman's 13.1% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 89th percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Hunter Goodman has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.7 mph (a reliable stat to measure power), grading out in the 94th percentile.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Freeland in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage today. Compiling a 94.8-mph average exit velocity in the past 7 days, Edmundo Sosa has been in great form in recent games. Edmundo Sosa's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 113.7 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Johan Rojas will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland today. Extreme groundball batters like Johan Rojas are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Freeland. Johan Rojas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.