Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props
MIL vs PIT Picks
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MIL vs PIT Consensus Picks
60% picking Milwaukee
Total PicksMIL 295, PIT 195
MIL vs PIT Props
Garrett Mitchell Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Garrett Mitchell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have the upper hand in today's game.
Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
Jake Bauers is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Jake Bauers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller today. Jake Bauers is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Pittsburgh (#1-worst of all teams on the slate).
Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences in the majors — generally bad for HRs. Aaron Civale will hold the platoon advantage over Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today's game. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the best among every team in action today. Isiah Kiner-Falefa's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88.8-mph average last season has fallen to 86-mph. In the last 14 days, Isiah Kiner-Falefa's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.4°.
Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Brice Turang has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph dropping to 73.6-mph in the last week. Compared to his seasonal mark of 5.8°, Brice Turang has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.5°) in the last two weeks.
William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences in the majors — generally bad for HRs. Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage against William Contreras in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for William Contreras in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal angle of 6°, William Contreras has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.7°) in the last two weeks.
Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Civale in today's game.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Bryan De La Cruz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Bryan De La Cruz's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (16.4°) is significantly better than his 12.3° angle last season.
Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Sal Frelick will have an edge in today's game. Sal Frelick has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 83.2-mph to 86-mph over the past 14 days.
Eric Haase Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Eric Haase has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 4.6% rate last year to 11.8% this year. Eric Haase has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last season's 87.1-mph mark. Eric Haase's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 11.3% to 26.5%.
Liover Peguero Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Liover Peguero will hold that advantage in today's game. Liover Peguero is remarkably athletic, grading out in the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.34 ft/sec since the start of last season. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Liover Peguero sits with a .317 BABIP since the start of last season.
Blake Perkins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Blake Perkins's 23.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.7%. With a .316 BABIP this year, Blake Perkins is ranked in the 79th percentile.
Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Aaron Civale today.
Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences in the majors — generally bad for HRs. Hitting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Jackson Chourio faces a tough challenge today. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Chourio in today's matchup. Jackson Chourio has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week's worth of games.
Rhys Hoskins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Rhys Hoskins has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 13.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 7 days. Rhys Hoskins has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 94.2-mph. In the past 7 days, Rhys Hoskins's 71.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.1%.
Nick Yorke Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Yorke in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Yorke will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, Nick Yorke has averaged an impressive 100.1-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential.
Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Andrew McCutchen will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Willy Adames has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days.
Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Jared Triolo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Jared Triolo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 42.3% on the season to 60.9% over the last two weeks.
Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Joey Bart is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage today. Joey Bart's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (25.3° over the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 13.5° seasonal angle.
MIL vs PIT Trends
Milwaukee Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 80 of their last 154 games (+10.40 Units / 6% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 90 of their last 158 games (+9.95 Units / 5% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 87 of their last 158 games (+8.65 Units / 5% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 87 of their last 158 games (+6.12 Units / 3% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.45 Units / 24% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 71 of their last 158 games (-29.77 Units / -16% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 154 games (-24.15 Units / -14% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 24 games (-12.15 Units / -42% ROI)
Pittsburgh Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games at home (+13.00 Units / 18% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 56% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+8.10 Units / 30% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 119 games (+6.40 Units / 4% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.10 Units / 33% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Team Total Over in 68 of their last 153 games (-29.55 Units / -16% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 65 games at home (-20.30 Units / -25% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 147 games (-18.80 Units / -11% ROI)
MIL vs PIT Top User Picks
Milwaukee Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 9-1-0 | +27055 |
| 2 | LuckyGuy | 3-7-0 | +21010 |
| 3 | Ollywood | 4-6-0 | +19651 |
| 4 | luke44 | 2-7-1 | +18810 |
| 5 | declin005 | 5-5-0 | +18675 |
| 6 | ronebme | 7-3-0 | +18055 |
| 7 | joe pockets | 7-3-0 | +17000 |
| 8 | peede | 5-5-0 | +16645 |
| 9 | longball44 | 7-3-0 | +16480 |
| 10 | djgarcia | 7-3-0 | +16030 |
| All Brewers Money Leaders | |||
Pittsburgh Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CJONES1068 | 4-5-1 | +24865 |
| 2 | ThorsHammer | 5-5-0 | +20390 |
| 3 | halfricanknight | 4-6-0 | +18418 |
| 4 | MLBFan8848 | 6-3-1 | +18105 |
| 5 | samua | 6-3-1 | +16845 |
| 6 | chefsloan7 | 5-4-1 | +16115 |
| 7 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +15215 |
| 8 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +15140 |
| 9 | jnc3lb | 7-2-1 | +13730 |
| 10 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +13455 |
| All Pirates Money Leaders | |||