The MLB postseason shifts back to the Junior Circuit with a pair of ALDS Games on the docket for Tuesday, October 7.
My MLB player props and home run analysis will focus on Vladimir Guerrero Jr, Giancarlo Stanton, and Randy Arozarena.
Best MLB home run props today
| Player |  |
|---|---|
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. |
+393 |
 Giancarlo Stanton |
+243 |
 Randy Arozarena |
+610 |
| 💲 All three parlayed | +10550 |
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HR Prop #1: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
The Toronto Blue Jays will look to complete the sweep of the New York Yankees tonight, and they’ve certainly received tons of contributions in the ALDS from Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who has absolutely raked, going 6-for-9 with two home runs.
Vladdy, who smacked 23 long balls during the regular season, went deep in Game 1, then broke things wide open in Game 2 with an emphatic grand slam. His confidence is at an all-time high right now, and tonight’s matchup plays heavily in Guerrero’s favor.
He’s 10-for-17 lifetime against Carlos Rodon, including one bomb and three doubles. I’ll take Vladdy to leave the ballpark for a third consecutive contest with my MLB picks.
HR Prop #2: Giancarlo Stanton
The Bronx Bombers are on the brink of elimination, and they need their sluggers to step it up. That includes Giancarlo Stanton, who is just 3-for-20 in the postseason. While he cracked 24 regular-season round-trippers in limited action, he’s yet to homer in the playoffs.
However, I’m expecting that to change in Game 3. Stanton is 3-for-15 lifetime against Shane Bieber with a home run, and most of his damage has come against right-handed pitchers this season, going deep 19 times.
HR Prop #3: Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena and the Seattle Mariners head to Comerica Park today for Game 3 against the Detroit Tigers, with the series tied 1-1. Arozarena has struggled in this series so far with just one hit, but I’m eyeing him to make some noise in the Motor City.
The Havana native is 3-for-8 lifetime against Tigers righty Jack Flaherty, and two of those hits have been home runs. Arozarena has no shortage of power, clubbing 27 round-trippers in the regular season.
Eighteen of his bombs were off righties, too, and Arozarena homered three times vs. Detroit in 2025.
Today’s HR parlay
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Giancarlo Stanton
Randy Arozarena
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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