St. Louis @ Colorado Picks & Props

The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams in action today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Paul Goldschmidt in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph dropping to 81.2-mph over the past week. Paul Goldschmidt's launch angle recently (3° over the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 13.1° seasonal angle. By putting up a 3.66 K/BB rate this year, Paul Goldschmidt has demonstrated poor plate discipline, ranking in the 21st percentile.

The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams in action today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Masyn Winn today. Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.8°, Masyn Winn has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.5°) in the last 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Masyn Winn's true offensive ability to be a .290, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .025 gap between that mark and his actual .315 wOBA.

Nolan Arenado's BABIP ability is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams in action today. Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. There has been a decrease in Nolan Arenado's average exit velocity this year, from 88.8 mph last year to 86.1 mph now Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 89.3-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 81.5-mph in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Sam Hilliard will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde today. Sam Hilliard will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Jordan Walker is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game. 11% of the time that Jordan Walker has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams in action today. Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.9°, Jordan Walker has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.4°) over the past two weeks.

This year, Ivan Herrera has been pulled from the game early in 10% of his appearances when starting against southpaw. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams in action today. Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ivan Herrera's true offensive talent to be a .319, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .017 deviation between that mark and his actual .336 wOBA.

Hitting from the same side that Austin Gomber throws from, Brendan Donovan will not have the upper hand today. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams in action today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brendan Donovan today. Brendan Donovan's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 90.9-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 84.8-mph over the last week.

Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Charlie Blackmon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in today's game.

Batting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Ezequiel Tovar faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best among all the teams in action today. Ezequiel Tovar's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 78.1-mph in the past week. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some positive variance this year. His .320 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .281. As it relates to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar's ability is quite poor, sporting a 9.22 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 1st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Ryan McMahon is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Jordan Beck's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jordan Beck will hold that advantage today. Jordan Beck has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 90.2-mph.

Nolan Jones's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Nolan Jones will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in today's game.

Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Michael Toglia will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Brendan Rodgers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Erick Fedde will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brenton Doyle in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best among all the teams in action today. Brenton Doyle has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 3.3% in the past 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brenton Doyle's true offensive skill to be a .298, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .027 disparity between that figure and his actual .325 wOBA. Brenton Doyle has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile with a 3.65 K/BB rate.

Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage today. Hunter Goodman has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 13.1% seasonal rate to 22.7% over the past 14 days.

Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Aaron Schunk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage today. Last season, Jacob Stallings had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.1°.

Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Pedro Pages will have the handedness advantage over Austin Gomber in today's matchup. Pedro Pages has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 93-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 90.7-mph.

Alec Burleson has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.