Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Liover Peguero will hold that advantage today. Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.34 ft/sec since the start of last season, Liover Peguero is quite toolsy. With a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, Liover Peguero finds himself in the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

Homers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest in the league. Luis Ortiz will hold the platoon advantage over Jackson Chourio today... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Ortiz's huge platoon split. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Chourio today. Over the last week, Jackson Chourio's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%. Jackson Chourio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 15.9% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jake Bauers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Ortiz in today's game... and moreover, Ortiz has a huge platoon split. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team today. Pittsburgh's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Jake Bauers, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Today, Brice Turang is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 43.1% rate (99th percentile). Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Brice Turang's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 87.2-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 73.8-mph over the last week. Brice Turang's launch angle of late (2.7° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 6° seasonal mark. Last season, Brice Turang had a launch angle of 10.2° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 3.1°.

Homers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest in the league. Luis Ortiz will have the handedness advantage over William Contreras in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Ortiz's huge platoon split. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Compared to his seasonal mark of 6°, William Contreras has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.2°) in the past two weeks. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, William Contreras has been lucky this year. His .360 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .342.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage today.

Garrett Mitchell's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Garrett Mitchell is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Because of Luis Ortiz's huge platoon split, Garrett Mitchell will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Yorke in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Nick Yorke will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nick Yorke has exhibited some good exit velocity stats recently, averaging 100.1-mph on his flyballs over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Ortiz today... and even more favorably, Ortiz has a huge platoon split. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team today.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Yasmani Grandal will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Yasmani Grandal has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 4.7% rate last season to 9.8% this season. Yasmani Grandal has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year's 87.9-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jared Triolo will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last week, Jared Triolo's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team today. Over the last 7 days, Rhys Hoskins's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 33.3%. In the last 7 days, Rhys Hoskins's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 102.4-mph recently.

Joey Bart is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 8.8°, Joey Bart has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26° angle over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team today.