New York @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #27 field in MLB for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his weak side (0) today against Aaron Nola Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Lindor today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage today. Brandon Marsh's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 48.1% on the season to 54.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Harrison Bader has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph to 93.5-mph over the last week. Harrison Bader has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90-mph average to last season's 88-mph average. Harrison Bader's launch angle in recent games (23.7° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 11.5° seasonal mark. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Harrison Bader has suffered from bad luck this year. His .283 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .298.

Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Johan Rojas will have the handedness advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Johan Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Johan Rojas has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 85.5-mph average.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Checking in at the 85th percentile, Pete Alonso has posted a .346 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte as the 20th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Starling Marte's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 42.4% to 50.5%. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Starling Marte has been unlucky this year. His .311 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .342. Ranking in the 89th percentile, Starling Marte has put up a .349 BABIP this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Mark Vientos has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 96-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.8°, Mark Vientos has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 25.5° mark in the last week's worth of games.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. J.D. Martinez's launch angle of late (25.2° in the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 14.9° seasonal mark. In notching a .330 BABIP this year, J.D. Martinez is ranked in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average talent. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Trea Turner will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Quintana in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Bryson Stott's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Bryson Stott will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Bryson Stott has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 89-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 87-mph EV.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jesse Winker will have an advantage in today's game. Jesse Winker has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. In notching a .342 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jesse Winker is positioned in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an edge in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Compared to last season, Tyrone Taylor has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 38.1% to 48.8% this season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) provides evidence that Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky this year with his .296 actual wOBA. Ranking in the 89th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.84 ft/sec this year, Tyrone Taylor is remarkably athletic.

Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Buddy Kennedy will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Buddy Kennedy will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.34 ft/sec since the start of last season, Buddy Kennedy is very athletic.

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. J.T. Realmuto will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Quintana today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the majors. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.249) suggests that Brandon Nimmo has experienced some negative variance this year with his .226 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jose Iglesias's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84.5-mph over the course of the season to 90.8-mph lately. Jose Iglesias's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 12.8% on the season to 30.4% over the last 14 days. Placing in the 90th percentile, Jose Iglesias has posted a .353 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Weston Wilson will have the upper hand in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Weston Wilson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Weston Wilson has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 26.5 ft/sec to 28.04 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Francisco Alvarez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88.4-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal mark of 5.1°, Francisco Alvarez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (0° in the past 14 days).