New York @ Texas Picks & Props

The #2 stadium in baseball for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Corey Seager hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-deepest CF fences today. Over the last 14 days, Corey Seager's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.4% down to 9.1%. Corey Seager's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 21.6% on the season to 18.2% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Alex Verdugo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 92.6-mph over the past week. In terms of his batting average, Alex Verdugo has had bad variance on his side this year. His .235 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an advantage in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 95.2-mph. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 41.7% on the season to 58.3% in the past two weeks. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has compiled a .337 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Marcus Semien are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. The New York Yankees infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Juan Soto has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 20.7% this year. In the past 7 days, Juan Soto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.9-mph over the course of the season to 101.7-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Gleyber Torres has hit one of the hardest balls in Major League Baseball in the last two weeks' worth of games — 111.2-mph — which is a favorable measure of recent form and raw power. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gleyber Torres's true offensive skill to be a .327, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .026 deviation between that mark and his actual .301 wOBA. Gleyber Torres has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 76th percentile with a 2.08 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 15.8% rate last year to 21.1% this year. Giancarlo Stanton has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 21.1% seasonal rate to 44% over the last 14 days. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 94.5-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup. The New York Yankees infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Nathaniel Lowe will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Anthony Rizzo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Anthony Rizzo has been unlucky this year, putting up a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .023 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Over the last two weeks, Anthony Volpe's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.3%. Checking in at the 81st percentile, Anthony Volpe has put up a .319 BABIP this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The New York Yankees infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage today. Over the past two weeks, Adolis Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.9-mph over the course of the season to 98.4-mph in recent games.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage today. The New York Yankees infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Josh Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Josh Smith's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 42.9% on the season to 50% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Josh Jung's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The New York Yankees infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage today. In notching a .260 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Josh Jung is ranked in the 76th percentile. In notching a .344 BABIP since the start of last season, Josh Jung is positioned in the 94th percentile.

The New York Yankees infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.4°, Jonah Heim has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 30.2° mark over the past two weeks. Despite posting a .270 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonah Heim has had some very poor luck given the .021 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .291.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Aaron Judge's 26.8% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 100th percentile this year. Aaron Judge has posted a .481 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 100th percentile. Aaron Judge has put up a .331 batting average this year, placing in the 100th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. The New York Yankees infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Wyatt Langford has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past week. Wyatt Langford has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 92-mph.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Austin Wells ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Wells is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's matchup. Austin Wells has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 14 days. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Austin Wells's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph recently.

The New York Yankees infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Leody Taveras has experienced some negative variance this year. His .228 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .262.

Travis Jankowski has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Ezequiel Duran has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.