St. Louis @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

Alec Burleson has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams playing today. Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Bauers's launch angle this year (23°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.6° mark last year.

The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Rhys Hoskins will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Rhys Hoskins has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.8% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Rhys Hoskins has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 92.7-mph in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today's game. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Sal Frelick will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Jackson Chourio will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In the past week, Paul Goldschmidt's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 20%.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Colin Rea today. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Lars Nootbaar has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92-mph average to last season's 89.1-mph figure.

Ivan Herrera's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Ivan Herrera hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Ivan Herrera has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 91.4-mph in the past week's worth of games. Ivan Herrera has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .319 figure is a fair amount lower than his .346 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Willy Adames will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jordan Walker's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.8-mph now compared to just 89.4-mph then. Over the last 7 days, Jordan Walker's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 99.8-mph lately.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. William Contreras will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, William Contreras's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.4% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an advantage today.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Masyn Winn has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 86.6-mph mark. Sporting a .280 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Masyn Winn is positioned in the 89th percentile.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 44.3% on the season to 57.1% in the last week. By putting up a .265 batting average this year, Nolan Arenado finds himself in the 75th percentile.

Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage over Sonny Gray today. Brice Turang will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Blake Perkins has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.