Philadelphia @ Toronto Picks & Props
PHI vs TOR Picks
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PHI vs TOR Props
Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The #8 park in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Bowden Francis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's matchup. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Trea Turner's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (9°) is considerably worse than his 12.2° figure last season. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 16.1% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.
Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Spencer Horwitz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 102.3-mph of late.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto
The #8 park in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Typically, bats like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Cristopher Sanchez. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle this season (6.8°) is considerably lower than his 10.2° angle last year. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 13.5% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.
Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto
Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Extreme groundball hitters like Daulton Varsho are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez. Daulton Varsho will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
When estimating his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Bowden Francis in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Brandon Marsh's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph in recent games.
Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bowden Francis in today's game.
Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. In the past 7 days, Edmundo Sosa's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 95.8-mph of late. Edmundo Sosa's launch angle recently (26.3° over the past week) is significantly better than his 13.5° seasonal mark.
Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto
When assessing his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, George Springer will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Nick Castellanos's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. In the last week, Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph of late.
Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage against Bowden Francis today. This season, Kody Clemens has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.9 mph compared to last year's 90.9 mph mark. Kody Clemens's speed has gotten better this season. His 27.6 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.1 ft/sec now.
Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Ernie Clement is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Ernie Clement will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game.
Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the majors. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's matchup.
Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. In the last week, Austin Hays's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 93.7-mph of late. Placing in the 79th percentile, Austin Hays sits with a .321 BABIP this year.
Weston Wilson Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Weston Wilson's speed has improved this year. His 26.5 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.05 ft/sec now.
J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
J.T. Realmuto's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. J.T. Realmuto has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.6% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.335) provides evidence that J.T. Realmuto has been unlucky this year with his .315 actual wOBA.
Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Davis Schneider will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Batters such as Davis Schneider with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto
Alejandro Kirk's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Alejandro Kirk will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup.
Brian Serven Total Hits Props • Toronto
In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Brian Serven will have an advantage in today's game. Brian Serven will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Brian Serven's quickness has increased this year. His 25.14 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.96 ft/sec now.
Addison Barger Total Hits Props • Toronto
Addison Barger has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
PHI vs TOR Trends
Philadelphia Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+12.40 Units / 19% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+11.10 Units / 12% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 54 away games (+6.65 Units / 11% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 43% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 67 of their last 123 games (+5.70 Units / 3% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 66 games (-23.85 Units / -30% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 85 games (-22.90 Units / -23% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 55 games (-22.25 Units / -33% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 72 games (-15.65 Units / -18% ROI)
Toronto Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+14.10 Units / 35% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.10 Units / 26% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 62% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 49 games at home (-23.65 Units / -44% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 60 games at home (-10.70 Units / -14% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 59 games at home (-8.00 Units / -10% ROI)
PHI vs TOR Top User Picks
Philadelphia Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | fatrats | 8-2-0 | +21045 |
| 2 | jlayne089 | 5-5-0 | +20155 |
| 3 | jakringle | 4-6-0 | +19940 |
| 4 | Alayne | 9-1-0 | +19467 |
| 5 | dragon5868 | 5-5-0 | +19235 |
| 6 | tonloc4554 | 6-4-0 | +17610 |
| 7 | KSBreview | 6-4-0 | +15789 |
| 8 | JL023 | 3-7-0 | +15387 |
| 9 | DavePaliwoda | 7-3-0 | +15330 |
| 10 | nolajay | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| All Phillies Money Leaders | |||
Toronto Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | hackorama | 6-4-0 | +19495 |
| 2 | accxmass | 5-4-1 | +17505 |
| 3 | Midway28 | 5-4-1 | +15885 |
| 4 | CastlemontDB91 | 6-3-1 | +15740 |
| 5 | Rossi35 | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| 6 | CitoGMoney | 3-6-1 | +14955 |
| 7 | Kowalabear1994 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 8 | rapa76 | 7-3-0 | +13985 |
| 9 | captty55 | 4-6-0 | +12990 |
| 10 | sailorman1965 | 8-2-0 | +12945 |
| All Blue Jays Money Leaders | |||