Texas @ Chicago props

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs. Brooks Baldwin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Brooks Baldwin has been unlucky this year, posting a .247 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .045 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Luis Robert is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Luis Robert pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Luis Robert will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Robert's true offensive skill to be a .322, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .023 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .299 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Nathaniel Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Flexen today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 42% on the season to 48.6% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs. Wyatt Langford has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 91.5-mph. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Wyatt Langford has been unlucky this year. His .297 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .337.

Andrew Benintendi's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have the upper hand today. Andrew Benintendi has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Andrew Benintendi will hold that advantage today.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs. Dominic Fletcher will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Dominic Fletcher will hold that advantage in today's game. Dominic Fletcher has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .212 mark is quite a bit lower than his .246 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Dominic Fletcher has notched a .327 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs. Josh Jung has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.9-mph average. Over the past 7 days, Josh Jung's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.1%. Using Statcast metrics, Josh Jung ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .265.

Corey Julks is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs. Corey Julks will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Last year, Corey Julks had an average launch angle of 8.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 15.4°.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs. Adolis Garcia has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 21.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.6°, Adolis Garcia has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 31.3° angle in the past 7 days.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Korey Lee will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Korey Lee has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 8.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past two weeks. Korey Lee has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 90.4-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.1°, Korey Lee has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 20.3° figure in the last two weeks.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today. In the past two weeks, Gavin Sheets's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.4-mph over the course of the season to 99.5-mph recently.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the majors. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs. Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Flexen today. Corey Seager has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 95-mph.

Jonah Heim pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Lenyn Sosa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to last season, Lenyn Sosa has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 46.3% to 52.4% this season. Lenyn Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, going from 52.4% on the season to 62.1% over the past two weeks. Lenyn Sosa has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .245 rate is deflated compared to his .330 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs. Andrew Vaughn will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Andrew Vaughn has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.6-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs. Miguel Vargas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.6°, Miguel Vargas has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 37.7° angle over the past week. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Vargas's true offensive ability to be a .319, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .066 deviation between that mark and his actual .253 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Marcus Semien has been unlucky this year. His .310 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343. When it comes to plate discipline, Marcus Semien's skill is quite good, sporting a 1.55 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 92nd percentile.

Robbie Grossman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Robbie Grossman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. As it relates to plate discipline, Robbie Grossman's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.55 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs.