New York @ Chicago props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors. Miguel Vargas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Miguel Vargas has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .194 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .217. When it comes to plate discipline, Miguel Vargas's talent is quite good, sporting a 1.72 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Over the last 14 days, Gleyber Torres's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42%. Gleyber Torres has been unlucky this year, compiling a .293 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .033 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Luis Robert is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Luis Robert will hold that advantage in today's game. Luis Robert has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 95.1-mph.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Korey Lee will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Over the past week, Korey Lee's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 108.4-mph recently. Over the last 7 days, Korey Lee's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.4%.

Riley Baldwin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Riley Baldwin will hold that advantage in today's matchup. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Riley Baldwin has been very consistent with his recently, notching a 36.2° launch angle standard deviation in the past week's worth of games.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Alex Verdugo's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 90.1-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 87.7-mph in the last two weeks. Over the past two weeks, Alex Verdugo's 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.7%. Placing in the 20th percentile, Alex Verdugo sits with a .265 BABIP this year.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Davis Martin will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Aaron Judge in today's matchup. Aaron Judge has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 26.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Despite posting a .476 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Aaron Judge has been lucky given the .050 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .426.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. DJ LeMahieu has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 91.6-mph over the past two weeks. DJ LeMahieu's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 43% on the season to 63% over the last two weeks. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) suggests that DJ LeMahieu has been unlucky this year with his .198 actual batting average.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors. Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Warren in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the game. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Davis Martin today. Juan Soto has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last season to 20.5% this season.

Lenyn Sosa is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Lenyn Sosa has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Lenyn Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Lenyn Sosa has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 93.8-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an edge in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andrew Benintendi can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Andrew Benintendi has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Anthony Volpe has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the past two weeks, Anthony Volpe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 93.7-mph lately.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Benjamin Rice ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors. Benjamin Rice will hold the platoon advantage against Davis Martin in today's game. Benjamin Rice has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .297 figure is deflated compared to his .356 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. When it comes to plate discipline, Benjamin Rice's ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.92 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 84th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Andrew Vaughn's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.4% up to 21.4%.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Dominic Fletcher will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Fletcher stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Fletcher will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dominic Fletcher is in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (23.9% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the past 7 days, Giancarlo Stanton's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 19% up to 25%. Giancarlo Stanton has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.3-mph to 96.9-mph in the past 14 days.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Oswaldo Cabrera will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Davis Martin in today's matchup. Oswaldo Cabrera pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Nicky Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (62% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Nicky Lopez will hold the platoon advantage against Will Warren in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nicky Lopez can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nicky Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage over Davis Martin in today's matchup. Compared to last year, Trent Grisham has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.7% to 21.9% this season. Trent Grisham's 11.4% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) grades out in the 81st percentile this year. Trent Grisham's 89.9-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in the league this year: 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Austin Wells has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.2°, Austin Wells has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.3° mark over the past 14 days.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors. Chuckie Robinson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Carlos Narvaez has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 6 games.