Tampa Bay @ St. Louis Picks & Props

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Victor Scott hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Victor Scott will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Victor Scott is notably toolsy, ranking in the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 30.37 ft/sec this year.

Hitting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Yandy Diaz encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Today, Yandy Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41.4% rate (98th percentile). Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz's launch angle lately (-9° in the past week's worth of games) is considerably worse than his 4° seasonal figure. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (-0.3°) is a considerable dropoff from his 4.9° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Christopher Morel is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. In the past week's worth of games, Christopher Morel's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 28.6%.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. In the past week's worth of games, Taylor Walls's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.8% up to 11.1%. Despite posting a .232 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Taylor Walls has had some very poor luck given the .049 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .281.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jose Siri is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Jose Siri has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Pedro Pages will have the handedness advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup. Pedro Pages will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Pedro Pages's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 11.4% on the season to 28.6% in the past week's worth of games.

Tommy Pham's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Tommy Pham will have an advantage today. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Masyn Winn will hold the platoon advantage over Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.2-mph over the course of the season to 89.5-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage today. Last season, Nolan Gorman had an average launch angle of 21.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 25.6°. Nolan Gorman's 17.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 97th percentile this year.

Brendan Donovan's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°. Brendan Donovan will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Brendan Donovan has had some very poor luck this year. His .316 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .337. Brendan Donovan has recorded a .279 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today's game. Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 43.4% on the season to 62.5% over the last week.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Willson Contreras will have the handedness advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup. Willson Contreras will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Jose Caballero has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 89.6-mph. Jose Caballero's launch angle of late (24.5° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 13.1° seasonal mark.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have the upper hand today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Placing in the 91st percentile, Ben Rortvedt has notched a .354 BABIP this year.

Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Alec Burleson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Alec Burleson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph of late.

Lars Nootbaar has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.