Minnesota @ New York Picks & Props
MIN vs NYM Picks
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MIN vs NYM Consensus Picks
61% picking NY Mets
Total PicksMIN 237, NYM 364
MIN vs NYM Props
Austin Martin Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Austin Martin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Over the past 7 days, Austin Martin's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 86.7 mph to 79.4 mph. Austin Martin's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 53.8% on the season to 87.5% in the past week's worth of games.
Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Jeff McNeil will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez today. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today. Ranking in the 77th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.32 ft/sec this year, Harrison Bader is quite quick.
Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Minnesota
In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Carlos Santana has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.9% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last 14 days. Carlos Santana's launch angle this season (16.1°) is considerably higher than his 12.5° angle last season.
Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Jesse Winker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today's game. Jesse Winker has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Willi Castro's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Royce Lewis is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Royce Lewis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. J.D. Martinez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Byron Buxton ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Byron Buxton pulls many of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Matt Wallner has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Matt Wallner will have an advantage in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Max Kepler is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Luis Severino in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota
In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Brooks Lee has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 89.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 85.9-mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.304) implies that Brooks Lee has had bad variance on his side this year with his .276 actual wOBA.
Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Jose Iglesias will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Jose Miranda Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Jose Miranda pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Jose Miranda's launch angle this year (15.3°) is a considerable increase over his 10° angle last year.
Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Ryan Jeffers pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 18.8% on the season to 25% over the past 14 days.
Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Tyrone Taylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Tyrone Taylor has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.1% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the past 14 days.
Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Francisco Alvarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Trevor Larnach will have the upper hand today.
MIN vs NYM Trends
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 86 games (+5.80 Units / 5% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.25 Units / 21% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.55 Units / 21% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 15% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 55 away games (-19.75 Units / -29% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 46 games (-15.05 Units / -30% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 11 games (-4.30 Units / -32% ROI)
New York Trends
The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 48 games (+16.20 Units / 26% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 60 of their last 99 games (+14.05 Units / 12% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 49 games (+11.85 Units / 20% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+10.40 Units / 14% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 100 games (-30.00 Units / -26% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 100 games (-17.80 Units / -16% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 29 games at home (-14.60 Units / -41% ROI)
The New York Mets have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 58 games at home (-8.90 Units / -13% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 51 games at home (-0.90 Units / -1% ROI)
MIN vs NYM Top User Picks
Minnesota Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
| 2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
| 3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
| 4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
| 5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
| 7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
| 8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
| 9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
| 10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
| All Twins Money Leaders | |||
NY Mets Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jessestars | 5-4-1 | +19870 |
| 2 | F-Orrell | 4-5-1 | +17629 |
| 3 | tjansen70 | 7-2-1 | +17280 |
| 4 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 6-4-0 | +15550 |
| 5 | billdo | 3-5-2 | +15170 |
| 6 | BundiniBrown | 5-5-0 | +14785 |
| 7 | CigarSt22 | 4-6-0 | +14368 |
| 8 | salgundy | 5-4-1 | +14235 |
| 9 | dashow69 | 3-7-0 | +13880 |
| 10 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +13475 |
| All Mets Money Leaders | |||