Tampa Bay @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jose Siri has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 16.1% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past 14 days. Jose Siri has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last season's 94-mph figure.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.326) implies that Davis Schneider has been unlucky this year with his .306 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. George Springer will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario as the 15th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Checking in at the 99th percentile, Amed Rosario has notched a .373 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Randy Arozarena has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.2% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last week's worth of games.

Justin Turner is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage today. Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 19.5% on the season to 40% in the last two weeks.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have an advantage in today's game. Ben Rortvedt has compiled a .359 BABIP this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Richie Palacios is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Richie Palacios will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Richie Palacios hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Richie Palacios has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 90.5-mph.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Danny Jansen's launch angle this year (24°) is considerably better than his 19.5° angle last season. In terms of plate discipline, Danny Jansen's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.62 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Ernie Clement will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ernie Clement has been unlucky this year. His .300 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .325.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 87.4-mph average.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Alex Jackson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Alex Jackson has been unlucky this year, notching a .158 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .279 — a .121 disparity.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. Brandon Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jose Caballero has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 88.8-mph. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 45.1% on the season to 62.5% over the last 7 days. Jose Caballero has compiled a .322 BABIP this year, grading out in the 76th percentile.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.8°, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 31.1° mark in the past two weeks' worth of games. Isaac Paredes's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (21.7°) is significantly higher than his 18° angle last year.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Taylor Walls's true offensive skill to be a .281, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .045 deviation between that figure and his actual .236 wOBA.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.