
Brewers vs Dodgers Home Run Picks & Best Bets for NLCS Game 4
Total PicksNYM 248, NYY 511
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Austin Wells ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Wells has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Austin Wells will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage today. Alex Verdugo has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 88.6-mph EV.
This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today. Placing in the 78th percentile, Harrison Bader sports a .272 batting average this year.
This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Jeff McNeil's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole today. In the past week's worth of games, Jeff McNeil's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.7% up to 30%. Jeff McNeil has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 87.8-mph.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Placing in the 79th percentile, Pete Alonso has notched a .344 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Aaron Judge will have an edge in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, DJ LeMahieu will have an edge in today's game. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 94.2-mph.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.D. Martinez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. J.D. Martinez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. J.D. Martinez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.9-mph average.
Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Mark Vientos has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 95.2-mph. Mark Vientos has recorded a .378 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 94th percentile. Mark Vientos has compiled a .295 batting average this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.
This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky this year. His .279 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314. Tyrone Taylor is quite quick, placing in the 88th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.77 ft/sec this year.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last season's 92.3-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Gleyber Torres has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Gleyber Torres will have an advantage in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Over the last 14 days, Jose Iglesias has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 3.6% to 8.7%. In the past 14 days, Jose Iglesias's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84.4-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph in recent games.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. In notching a .356 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Francisco Alvarez grades out in the 90th percentile. Ranking in the 90th percentile, Francisco Alvarez has posted a .292 batting average this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Davis in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, J.D. Davis will have an advantage today. J.D. Davis has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
Anthony Volpe's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Anthony Volpe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Anthony Volpe will have an edge today. Anthony Volpe has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | jessestars | 5-4-1 | +19870 |
2 | F-Orrell | 4-5-1 | +17629 |
3 | tjansen70 | 7-2-1 | +17280 |
4 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 6-4-0 | +15550 |
5 | billdo | 3-5-2 | +15170 |
6 | BundiniBrown | 5-5-0 | +14785 |
7 | CigarSt22 | 4-6-0 | +14368 |
8 | salgundy | 5-4-1 | +14235 |
9 | dashow69 | 3-7-0 | +13880 |
10 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +13475 |
All Mets Money Leaders |
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | TAURO1954 | 6-4-0 | +20640 |
2 | faustobaez | 5-5-0 | +18570 |
3 | faustobone | 5-5-0 | +18455 |
4 | proliner55 | 7-3-0 | +17645 |
5 | cucamonga | 6-4-0 | +17345 |
6 | Jets73 | 8-2-0 | +16105 |
7 | Hawggolf1 | 5-5-0 | +16085 |
8 | burley | 7-3-0 | +15930 |
9 | poppyg | 6-4-0 | +15772 |
10 | Fekete | 7-3-0 | +14610 |
All Yankees Money Leaders |