Detroit @ Cleveland Picks & Props

Colt Keith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 21% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year. Colt Keith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. In the last 14 days, Colt Keith's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%.

Batting from the same side that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Matt Vierling will not have the upper hand today. Out of all the teams in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Matt Vierling will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Over the last 14 days, Matt Vierling's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10% down to 4.2%. Over the past 14 days, Matt Vierling's 4.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.4%.

Gio Urshela is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Carlos Carrasco will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gio Urshela today. Out of all the teams in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gio Urshela in today's matchup. Gio Urshela's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 14.7% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Tarik Skubal will hold the platoon advantage against Steven Kwan today. In the past 14 days, Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 87.3 mph to 83.8 mph. Steven Kwan's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (7.8° in the last 14 days) is considerably lower than his 11.7° seasonal angle. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan's true offensive skill to be a .310, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .080 difference between that figure and his actual .390 wOBA.

Justyn-Henry Malloy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (87% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, Progressive Field's left field fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Justyn-Henry Malloy's 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.3%.

Angel Martinez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, Progressive Field's left field fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Angel Martinez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Tarik Skubal in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, Progressive Field's left field fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Javier Baez has been unlucky this year, notching a .200 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .289 — a .089 gap.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage today. Bo Naylor has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.5% seasonal rate to 13.3% over the past 14 days. Bo Naylor has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 91.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, Progressive Field's left field fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Brayan Rocchio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Tarik Skubal in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, Progressive Field's left field fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Tyler Freeman will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Wenceel Perez pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Wenceel Perez's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 87.4-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 80-mph over the last 7 days.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Mark Canha ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Canha is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, Progressive Field's left field fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Austin Hedges will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, Progressive Field's left field fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Jhonkensy Noel will hold the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Jake Rogers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jake Rogers's 10.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 76th percentile this year. This year, Jake Rogers's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 95th percentile at 96.3 mph.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. This season, Carson Kelly has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93 mph compared to last year's 90.3 mph mark. The standard deviation of Carson Kelly's launch angle this year (26°) is in the 85th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.

David Fry is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, David Fry will have an edge in today's game. David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an advantage today. Zach McKinstry has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP. Zach McKinstry has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last season's 88-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 9th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.