Final Sep 16
ATL 6 -143 o9.0
WAS 3 +129 u9.0
Final (10) Sep 16
CLE 7 +119 o8.0
DET 5 -129 u8.0
Final Sep 16
CHC 4 +111 o6.5
PIT 1 -120 u6.5
Final Sep 16
ATH 2 +133 o8.5
BOS 1 -145 u8.5
Final (10) Sep 16
ATL 5 -177 o7.0
WAS 0 +158 u7.0
Final Sep 16
SD 3 +110 o8.0
NYM 8 -119 u8.0
Final Sep 16
TOR 6 +100 o8.0
TB 5 -108 u8.0
Final Sep 16
SEA 12 -132 o8.5
KC 5 +122 u8.5
Final Sep 16
BAL 8 +101 o8.0
CHW 7 -109 u8.0
Final Sep 16
NYY 10 -161 o9.0
MIN 9 +147 u9.0
Final Sep 16
LAA 2 +237 o8.5
MIL 9 -265 u8.5
Final Sep 16
CIN 0 -116 o8.0
STL 3 +107 u8.0
Final Sep 16
TEX 5 -116 o7.5
HOU 6 +107 u7.5
Final Sep 16
MIA 6 -135 o10.0
COL 5 +124 u10.0
Final Sep 16
SF 5 +114 o9.5
AZ 6 -124 u9.5
Final Sep 16
PHI 9 +110 o7.5
LAD 6 -119 u7.5
FOX

Boston @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

BOS vs LAD Picks

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BOS vs LAD Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

62% picking Boston vs LA Dodgers to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksBOS 293, LAD 178

BOS vs LAD Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

James Outman
J. Outman
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. James Outman will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball batters like James Outman tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

James Outman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. James Outman will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball batters like James Outman tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Teoscar Hernandez
T. Hernandez
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

Teoscar Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Gavin Lux
G. Lux
second base 2B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Gavin Lux will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

Gavin Lux

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Gavin Lux will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

Chris Taylor Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Chris Taylor
C. Taylor
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Chris Taylor will hold that advantage today.

Chris Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Chris Taylor will hold that advantage today.

Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Freddie Freeman
F. Freeman
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Over the last week, Freddie Freeman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 0%. Over the last 7 days, Freddie Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 91.9 mph to 83.5 mph.

Freddie Freeman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Over the last week, Freddie Freeman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 0%. Over the last 7 days, Freddie Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 91.9 mph to 83.5 mph.

Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Miguel Rojas
M. Rojas
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. Miguel Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast data, Miguel Rojas is in the 76th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .267.

Miguel Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. Miguel Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast data, Miguel Rojas is in the 76th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .267.

Andy Pages Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Andy Pages
A. Pages
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Andy Pages is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Extreme groundball bats like Andy Pages usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Andy Pages

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Andy Pages is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Extreme groundball bats like Andy Pages usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Shohei Ohtani Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Shohei Ohtani
S. Ohtani
designated hitter DH • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #2 field in the game for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences among all major league parks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Shohei Ohtani's true offensive talent to be a .401, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .027 gap between that mark and his actual .428 wOBA. Boston's 92.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #6 offense in MLB this year by this stat.

Shohei Ohtani

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The #2 field in the game for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences among all major league parks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Shohei Ohtani's true offensive talent to be a .401, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .027 gap between that mark and his actual .428 wOBA. Boston's 92.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #6 offense in MLB this year by this stat.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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