Toronto @ Arizona Picks & Props

Among all parks, Chase Field's CF dimensions are the 3rd-deepest. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game -7° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays. Ketel Marte's launch angle this year (7.6°) is significantly worse than his 10.6° mark last year.

The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game -7° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have a disadvantage today. In today's game, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (87th percentile). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the past two weeks, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 95.6 mph to 87.3 mph.

Among all parks, Chase Field's CF dimensions are the 3rd-deepest. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game -7° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, George Springer will have a tough matchup today. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. George Springer's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 42.2% on the season to 21.1% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage today. Jake McCarthy's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (15.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 11.1° figure last season.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 stadium in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Chase Field profiles as the #2 stadium in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Geraldo Perdomo will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. As it relates to plate discipline, Geraldo Perdomo's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.48 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 95th percentile.

Danny Jansen is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 stadium in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Danny Jansen's launch angle this season (23.5°) is considerably higher than his 19.5° figure last year. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.334) may lead us to conclude that Danny Jansen has suffered from bad luck this year with his .314 actual wOBA.

Ernie Clement's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field profiles as the #2 stadium in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ernie Clement has had bad variance on his side this year. His .297 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .326. Ernie Clement is in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (22% rate this year).

Justin Turner is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 stadium in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Over the last week, Justin Turner's 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.2%. Justin Turner has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .230 rate is quite a bit lower than his .249 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 stadium in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Christian Walker will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Chase Field profiles as the #2 stadium in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will have the upper hand in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP. Kevin Kiermaier has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 86.1-mph mark.

Randal Grichuk's batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 stadium in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Randal Grichuk will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's game.

Chase Field profiles as the #2 stadium in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Kevin Newman will have the upper hand today. Kevin Newman will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Kevin Newman sits with a .276 batting average this year.