Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Jarren Duran has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 93.6-mph over the last 7 days. Jarren Duran's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 46.1% on the season to 24.2% over the last 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive skill to be a .330, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .017 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .347 wOBA.