Tampa Bay @ Texas Picks & Props

The #1 park in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Amed Rosario will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Amed Rosario's launch angle this season (2.9°) is considerably worse than his 7.5° angle last year.

The #1 park in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. In the league, Globe Life Field's CF fences are the 6th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yandy Diaz in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Yandy Diaz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jose Siri is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Jose Siri will have an advantage today. Jose Siri has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year's 94-mph mark. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 19.1% on the season to 23.8% in the past two weeks.

The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Andrew Heaney. In the past week's worth of games, Taylor Walls's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.8% up to 10%.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage in today's matchup. Josh Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Josh Smith's launch angle recently (23.7° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 15.8° seasonal figure. Ranking in the 89th percentile, Josh Smith has notched a .363 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jonathan Ornelas will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Nathaniel Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley today. Nathaniel Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Nathaniel Lowe's 31.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14%.

Corey Seager projects as the 11th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Corey Seager will have an advantage in today's matchup. Corey Seager will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Corey Seager's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.1% up to 22.2%.

Jose Caballero will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's matchup. Compared to last season, Jose Caballero has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 39.5% to 44.9% this season. Placing in the 75th percentile, Jose Caballero has put up a .325 BABIP this year.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Randy Arozarena will have an edge today. In the last week's worth of games, Randy Arozarena's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.1% up to 25%. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Randy Arozarena's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.9-mph over the course of the season to 101.4-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Leody Taveras will get to bat from his strong side against Taj Bradley in this game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Leody Taveras's launch angle from last season's 9.9° to 13.4° this year. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Leody Taveras's 53.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.2%.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Adolis Garcia has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 14.4% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the last week. Adolis Garcia has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 91.2-mph mark.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Isaac Paredes will have an advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.3°, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 27.3° figure in the last two weeks' worth of games. Last year, Isaac Paredes had an average launch angle of 18° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 22.8°. Ranking in the 89th percentile, Isaac Paredes has notched a .362 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Jonah Heim will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Jonah Heim's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 27.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Marcus Semien will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Marcus Semien has had bad variance on his side this year. His .291 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343. When it comes to plate discipline, Marcus Semien's skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.7 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 88th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Alex Jackson will have the upper hand today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Jackson's true offensive skill to be a .272, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .143 deviation between that mark and his actual .129 wOBA.

Andrew Knizner will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.