Minnesota @ Seattle Picks & Props

The #2 park in the majors for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Bailey Ober will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today's game. Julio Rodriguez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.9-mph dropping to 83.6-mph over the past week.

The #2 park in the majors for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Logan Gilbert will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Correa in today's matchup. Carlos Correa will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for homers. J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Ober in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage today. Jorge Polanco has been unlucky this year, posting a .269 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .051 deviation.

Luke Raley's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for homers. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Ober in today's game. Luke Raley will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Josh Rojas will have an advantage today. Josh Rojas has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Josh Rojas will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Josh Rojas's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph in recent games. In the past week's worth of games, Josh Rojas's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19%.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.4°, Carlos Santana has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26° figure over the past two weeks. Last season, Carlos Santana had an average launch angle of 7.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 14.3°.

Willi Castro's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Willi Castro pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today. In the last week, Willi Castro's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.6% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for homers. Ty France will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Ty France's launch angle in recent games (45° over the last 7 days) is a significant increase over his 10.6° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for homers. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.295) suggests that Manuel Margot has had bad variance on his side this year with his .266 actual wOBA. When it comes to plate discipline, Manuel Margot's talent is quite strong, putting up a 1.88 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Royce Lewis is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Royce Lewis pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today. The Barrel% of Royce Lewis has significantly improved, with an increase from 11.7% last year to 22.2% this year.

Mitch Garver is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (42.2% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mitch Garver's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (18.1°) is considerably better than his 14.9° mark last year. Mitch Garver has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .175 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .213 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season's 89.6-mph figure. Cal Raleigh's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 15.7% on the season to 25% in the last week.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for homers. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Max Kepler will have the upper hand today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today. Max Kepler's launch angle lately (30.3° in the last 7 days) is considerably higher than his 19.4° seasonal figure.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Byron Buxton ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Byron Buxton has put up a .325 BABIP this year, placing in the 78th percentile.

Christian Vazquez has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today. There has been a significant improvement in Christian Vazquez's launch angle from last year's 9.6° to 15.7° this year. Christian Vazquez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .190 rate is quite a bit lower than his .242 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for homers. Mitch Haniger will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Mitch Haniger has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the last two weeks. Mitch Haniger has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 99.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.4-mph figure. Mitch Haniger has been unlucky this year, putting up a .272 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .038 disparity.

Dominic Canzone has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for homers. Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's matchup. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Dominic Canzone has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .215 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.

Jose Miranda pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today. Jose Miranda has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph figure. There has been a significant improvement in Jose Miranda's launch angle from last season's 10° to 15.7° this year. Sporting a .341 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jose Miranda grades out in the 78th percentile.

Trevor Larnach is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for homers. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Trevor Larnach will have the upper hand in today's game. Trevor Larnach has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.

James Farmer has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.