San Diego @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Cristian Pache will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Cristian Pache has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 27.84 ft/sec to 28.42 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 5th-worst park in the majors for right-handed BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Batting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Alec Bohm encounters a tough challenge in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Bohm's true offensive ability to be a .319, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .042 deviation between that mark and his actual .361 wOBA. Alec Bohm has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 7.9° mark is among the lowest in the league since the start of last season (20th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 5th-worst park in the majors for right-handed BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Trea Turner will have a tough matchup today. Trea Turner's speed has declined this year. His 30.23 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.67 ft/sec now. Despite posting a .371 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trea Turner has experienced some positive variance given the .034 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337.

The #5 ballpark in MLB for suppressing base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Bryce Harper grades out in the 12th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (12.4% rate since the start of last season).

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Garrett Stubbs will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King today. Garrett Stubbs will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Donovan Solano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ha-seong Kim pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.272) may lead us to conclude that Ha-seong Kim has had some very poor luck this year with his .220 actual batting average.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. David Dahl will hold the platoon advantage against Michael King today. David Dahl will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The #5 ballpark in MLB for suppressing base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 10th percentile since the start of last season. Checking in at the 1st percentile, the hardest ball Luis Arraez has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 104 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Tyler Wade will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game. Tyler Wade has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Luis Campusano pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Luis Campusano has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .237 figure is considerably lower than his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Luis Campusano and his 19.3% rank in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 17th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jurickson Profar's speed has increased this year. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.52 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand today.

Bryson Stott's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Nick Castellanos will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, David Peralta will have an edge in today's matchup. David Peralta has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .290 figure is quite a bit lower than his .331 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.