Baltimore @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre profiles as the #26 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report expects the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the same side that Trevor Richards throws from, Jordan Westburg will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. Jordan Westburg will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Jordan Westburg has been lucky this year, notching a .366 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .044 disparity.

Rogers Centre profiles as the #26 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report expects the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the same side that Trevor Richards throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have a tough matchup today. Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

The #3 park in the league for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather report expects the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Despite posting a .397 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has had some very good luck given the .039 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .358.

Rogers Centre profiles as the #26 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report expects the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Corbin Burnes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game. Ranking in the 25th percentile, Bo Bichette has posted a .278 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The #3 park in the league for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather report expects the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Trevor Richards Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adley Rutschman today.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's game. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Daulton Varsho has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .206 BA is deflated compared to his .210 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Daulton Varsho's 20.3° launch angle (a reliable standard to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in MLB: 96th percentile.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will have the upper hand in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. With a .320 BABIP since the start of last season, Kevin Kiermaier is positioned in the 81st percentile.

Daniel Vogelbach is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Daniel Vogelbach will have the handedness advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Daniel Vogelbach will hold that advantage today. Daniel Vogelbach's footspeed has gotten better this year. His 23.64 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.31 ft/sec now.

Danny Jansen is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Danny Jansen will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Danny Jansen is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season). Checking in at the 84th percentile, Danny Jansen has put up a .347 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.366) may lead us to conclude that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck this year with his .357 actual wOBA.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Justin Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Using Statcast metrics, Davis Schneider is in the 96th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .380.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. By putting up a .327 BABIP since the start of last season, Austin Hays is ranked in the 86th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.418) implies that George Springer has suffered from bad luck this year with his .276 actual wOBA. George Springer's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to study power) has been 115.9 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 94th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Trevor Richards throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have an advantage in today's game. Cedric Mullins II hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cedric Mullins II's true offensive skill to be a .306, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .070 difference between that mark and his actual .236 wOBA. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 99th percentile with a 21.7° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.

James McCann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. In terms of his batting average, James McCann has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .216 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .248. Placing in the 79th percentile, the hardest ball James McCann has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.1 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), James McCann and his 19.2% rank in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Richards in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In notching a .274 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ryan O'Hearn is positioned in the 80th percentile.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Ranked in the 76th percentile, Anthony Santander has one of the highest average exit velocities in the majors since the start of last season (90.6-mph). Anthony Santander's 20.1° launch angle (an advanced standard to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in MLB: 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Colton Cowser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Richards today. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.