Detroit @ Boston Picks & Props

Hitting from the opposite that Kenta Maeda throws from, Reese McGuire will have an edge in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Reese McGuire will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Reese McGuire has posted a .345 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Garrett Cooper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Garrett Cooper will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Garrett Cooper has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .247 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268.

Javier Baez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.285) may lead us to conclude that Javier Baez has suffered from bad luck this year with his .203 actual batting average.

Connor Wong's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Connor Wong has been hot lately, posting a .360 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Wilyer Abreu will hold that advantage today. Wilyer Abreu's speed has increased this year. His 26.74 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.56 ft/sec now.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best batter in the league. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage over Kenta Maeda today. Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Colt Keith has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Colt Keith will have an advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .263 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Colt Keith has had bad variance on his side given the .038 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta today. Riley Greene hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, Riley Greene ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .367.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Spencer Torkelson's true offensive ability to be a .326, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .043 difference between that figure and his actual .283 wOBA. Spencer Torkelson has posted a .350 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 81st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Spencer Torkelson's 14% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 90th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Kenta Maeda throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge in today's matchup. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Rob Refsnyder will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Rob Refsnyder has been hot recently, putting up a .423 wOBA in the past 7 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Mark Canha ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Canha is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. When it comes to plate discipline, Mark Canha's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.81 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Matt Vierling has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, Matt Vierling is in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .274. Sporting a .324 BABIP since the start of last season, Matt Vierling is ranked in the 84th percentile.

David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's game. David Hamilton has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Gio Urshela has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Gio Urshela has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Gio Urshela is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.6% rate since the start of last season). Gio Urshela has put up a .298 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Vaughn Grissom has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Vaughn Grissom will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.276) may lead us to conclude that Vaughn Grissom has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .212 actual batting average.

Carson Kelly hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Kenta Maeda throws from, Dominic Smith will have an edge in today's matchup. Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Dominic Smith and his 15.9° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 85th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.

Wenceel Perez is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Wenceel Perez pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Wenceel Perez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .345. Wenceel Perez is very athletic, checking in at the 81st percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.33 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 92nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.1 ft/sec this year, Ceddanne Rafaela is remarkably fast.

Jake Rogers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jake Rogers's 12% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) is in the 81st percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Jake Rogers's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 92nd percentile at 95.5 mph. Jake Rogers grades out in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (20.2% rate since the start of last season).